EV News – 2022 Reveiw and 2023 Coming Soon!

I had a short conversation with someone about EV’s (electric vehicles) who admitted that they didn’t know much about the current adoption/industry. I took it upon myself to gather a few highlights from 2022 as well as some info about exciting near term developments for 2023. Below are those articles!

A short deviation from all the EV stuff that will follow.

Porsche begins production of ‘e-fuel’ that could provide gas alternative amid EV push. Porsche said Tuesday that a pilot plant in Chile started production of the alternative fuel, as it aims to produce millions of gallons by mid-decade.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/20/porsche-starts-production-of-e-fuel-that-could-provide-gas-alternative.html

 A big deal for 2023 is that most EV’s are again open to the $7,500 tax credit, depending on where the batteries are made and some other rules.

Previously after any specific manufacturer had sold 200k EV’s that company’s cars would lose a tax credit.

So GM and Tesla EV’s were not getting a $7,500 tax credit at the end of 2022 while Ford’s were.

https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/credits-for-new-clean-vehicles-purchased-in-2023-or-after

Tesla Cybertruck – Many Tesla fans are closely watching as tooling rolls into the Texas production plant, getting ready for Cybertruck production later in 2023!

Tesla takes delivery of army of robots to build Cybertruck

Tesla Cybertruck Coming, Giga Press Shipments Arrive At Giga Texas

https://insideevs.com/news/630127/tesla-cybertruck-coming-giga-press-shipments-arrive/

TeslaSsemi – Initially 36 delivered to Pepsi. More being delivered in 2023

500 mile range on the Tesla Semi, pulling a load.

Tesla expanding Texas plant – $700 million capital expenditure https://electrek.co/2023/01/10/tesla-applies-massive-million-expansion-gigafactory-texas/

Vinfast – Vietnamese car company. Up and coming! Sounds like a bit of a rough start though.

Part of a huge company – Vingroup that seems to own everything in Vietnam.

https://jalopnik.com/vinfast-vf8-electric-car-first-drive-not-ready-for-u-s-1849892217

 Vingroup Joint Stock Company is the largest conglomerate of Vietnam,focusing on technology, industry, real estate development, retail, and services ranging from healthcare to hospitality. The company was founded by property developer and entrepreneur Phạm Nhật Vượng.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vingroup

It’s hard to tell how many cars Vinfast has sold in 2022. It sounds like only a few thousand. But hopefully they will start producing more in 2023! More EV companies the better.

https://www.marklines.com/en/news/274025

 Ford

The company said it sold 15,617 F150 Lightning EV pickups in 2022. Plans to sell many more in 2023. 

 Rivian

On a full-year 2022 basis, Rivian produced 24,337 electric vehicles and delivered 20,332 to customers. Rivian is a new EV only car (currently only making Trucks and SUV’s) company.

https://insideevs.com/news/629288/rivian-ev-production-deliveries-2022q4

VW bus -ID.Buzz –

saw the start of production of the ID.Buzz electric van after it was officially unveiled last March.

6,000 Buzz deliveries alone by the end of 2022

 In 2022, 20,511 Volkswagen ID.4 (small electric sedan) were sold in the US, which is 22.5 percent more than in 2021 (16,742) and 6.8 percent of the brand’s total volume. Cumulatively, more than 37,000 ID.4 were delivered to customers

https://insideevs.com/news/629719/us-volkswagen-id4-sales-record-2022q4/

2023 Chevy Bolt EV and EUV get $6,000 price cut, start at $25,600 –. Probably cheapest/best value EV for sale in USA.

Canoo – New EV company. Has multiple sale agreements with Walmart, US military, others.

https://www.press.canoo.com/press-release/walmart-purchases-canoo-electric-delivery-vehicles

United states post office – Personally I think this is a great application for EV’s. standard daily route length. Can recharge at night. Should save USPS a lot of money. 

https://about.usps.com/newsroom/national-releases/2022/1220-usps-intends-to-deploy-over-66000-electric-vehicles-by-2028.htm

 o Postal Service anticipates increasing the quantity of purpose-built Next Generation Delivery Vehicles (NGDV) to a minimum of 60,000 of which at least 45,000 will be battery electric by 2028. NGDV acquisitions delivered in 2026 and thereafter expected to be 100% electric.

o Postal Service expects to purchase an additional 21,000 battery electric delivery vehicles through 2028, representing a mix of commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) vehicles. Acquisitions delivered in 2026 through 2028 expected to be 100% electric.

 Chinese EV companies – NIO, Xpeng, Li auto – are the 3 new big upcoming Chinese EV companies.

NIO – . NIO delivered 122,486 vehicles in 2022 in total, increasing by 34.0% year-over-year. Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 289,556 as of December 31, 2022.

https://www.nio.com/news/nio-inc-provides-december-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2022-delivery-update

Nio is also working on battery swap stations, not just charging like most other EV companies are doing.

https://insideevs.com/news/622519/nio-1200-battery-swapping-stations-china-2022/

Xpeng – Xpeng ranked third, delivering 11,292 vehicles in December, down from 16,000 last year, for a total of 120,757 in 2022.

Li Auto – They are the 3rd hot Chinese EV car company. Honestly I don’t know much about them but apparently they delivered just slightly more EV’s than Nio or Xpeng in 2022 (Li Auto – 133,000 deliveries in 2022. See above link.

BYD – BYD auto is a legacy car company that has delivered a lot of hybrids in china.They sell more plug in hybrids than pure EV’s. but still a good company/force in EV world.

https://insideevs.com/news/629273/byd-plugin-car-sales-december2022/

In 2022, BYD sold more than 1.85 million plug-in electric cars, more than tripling its 2021 result of 593,745. This makes the company the world’s largest manufacturer of rechargeable cars, although, in the case of all-electric cars, Tesla still has a significant edge (over 1.3 million deliveries).

BYD plug-in sales year-to-date:

BEVs: 911,141 (up 184% year-over-year)

PHEVs: 946,238 (up 247% year-over-year)

Total: 1,857,379 (up 213% year-over-year)

Check your Financial Privilege

I recently read an interesting book called Check Your Financial Privilege- Alex Gladstein.  This started as a series of posts on Bitcoin Magazine. 

You can read some of the articles below.

Check Your Financial Privilege

 UNCOVERING THE HIDDEN COSTS OF THE PETRODOLLAR

FIGHTING MONETARY COLONIALISM WITH OPEN-SOURCE CODE

CAN BITCOIN BE PALESTINE’S CURRENCY OF FREEDOM?

The reason for the book is because they are very long and in depth articles such that many people may not read them on the internet. But if you want to, they are free there. 

Living in the USA it’s very easy to take a US centric view of the world. That view involves a relatively stable currency, at least for the last 40 years. The last time we really saw high inflation was 1982 when it was 6% and the few years before that. Since then it’s been under 5% and some years as low as 1%. Many other countries have not had this privilege. 

In the USA we also have a pretty robust stock market, averaging 9%/year in gains and usually about 6% over inflation.

Because many people are unable to trust their own currency they try to trust the USD to maintain their local purchasing power. This is not always practical as trying to transact in a foreign currency can cause a lot of confusion. Change may also not be available. 

Two countries that I highlight below have had very high inflation over the last year (and years), relative to the USD. Those countries being Argentina and Haiti. They have lost 25% vs USD  for Argentina Peso and 27% for the Hatian Gourde respectively.

Many people complain about Bitcoin’s volatility. For example, if you had bought BTC in the USA 1 year ago you would be down 20% but since these other countries have such high inflation if people in Argentina and Haiti had held BTC instead of their local currency they would have maintained their purchasing power instead of losing 25%.

Even the Euro, which is a relatively stable currency, has only lost 7% relative to BTC over the last year, whereas the USD has lost 20% over the last year. Bitcoin’s performance over the last year relative the the dollar, the strongest currency, which is not widely available, really only highlights the benefits of the dollar being the world reserve currency. 

Compared to many other assets, bitcoin has performed very well, even when measured against the Euro!

This is what is meant when saying we should “Check our Financial Privilege”. A real fear is that perhaps the USA will fall victim to extreme inflation in the future. 

While stocks have historically been an inflation hedge and will likely continue to be the best hedge, the USD as the world reserve currency may have completed its time. The world reserve currency has changed many times in the past. Before WW2 the British Pound was the world reserve currency. Before that it was the Dutch Guilder, which doesn’t exist anymore.

For a very interesting history on that you can read Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail – Ray Dalio.

Here is a short (1 hr) Youtube Video summary of the book, by the author, if you don’t want to read the book.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8

In conclusion, when considering if “bitcoin is good for me” you should try to expand your scope a little. While you may not realize the problem of inflation, even low inflation, as it’s been ever present, many people around the world have seen the damage inflation has done and see the potential that bitcoin may provide to hedge against inflation.

USD to BTC –
May 22, 2021 – $37,59610
May 22, 2022 – $29,985.50
20.25% decrease

Hatian Gourde to BTC –
May 22, 2021 – 3,318,494.21
May 22, 2022 – 3,361,197.64
1.29% increase

Argentine Peso to BTC –
May 22, 2021 – 3,541,519.54
May 22, 2022 – 3,549,033.05
0.21% increase

Hatian Gourde to USD
May 22, 2021 – 88.27
May 22, 2022 – 112.09
27% increase

Argentine Peso to USD
May 22, 2021 – 94.20
May 22, 2022 – 118.47
25.7% increase

Euro to USD
May 22, 2021 – $1.22
May 22, 2022 – $1.06
13.1% decrease

Euro to BTC
May 22, 2021 – 30,863.91
May 22, 2022 – 28,415.65
7.93% decrease

Bitcoin

I’ve been thinking about bitcoin off and on since approximately 2017. More intensely since about Dec 2020. Here is a short distillation of my thoughts. 

My main interest in bitcoin is not bitcoin itself but its characteristics of being “hard” currency. Currency that can not be debased or inflated for use by a central authority. Beyond that, bitcoin itself has very few special properties. Any economic research that is interested in sound monetary policy applies to bitcoin, of which there has been much

But Bitcoin does have a few key properties that give it great benefits as a sound monetary unit. 

Bitcoin is much better than gold, the historical hard currency, as a hard currency. 

It has 3 key features. 

One. It can be purchased or transacted from your home, or anywhere else with internet access, to anywhere else with internet access. I can send bitcoin to anyone in China, Haiti or Argentina, or next door. 

Two. It can be split into much smaller pieces than gold. The smallest unit of a bitcoin is a Satoshi. With $1 you can buy ~ 2100 satoshis today (when 1 full bitcoin is worth $~$46,000)  whereas transacting in gold in small useful units is basically impossible. You cannot really buy $1 worth of gold or even $100. 1 oz of gold is nearly $1k. 1 gram of gold is still ~ $60. That is not a useful transaction unit at all. 

The third is that bitcoin has a hard fixed amount that will ever be created. Gold is not truly scarce in the universe. While mining gold is difficult and allows a relatively fixed amount. There is still growth in the total gold supply each year and potential to find new deposits at any time or get a massive amount from asteroids in space. In contrast, Bitcoin is capped at 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist, providing ultimate scarcity. 

For a primer on bitcoin, I recommend the Fidelity Paper “Bitcoin First”

Sound money not only imposes fiscal discipline upon government, impeding reckless federal spending and imprudent warfare, but it also provides a stable unit of account, store of value, and medium of exchange for entrepreneurs, businesses, and individuals.” 

If you have any interest in talking about bitcoin let me know!

The Ministry for the Future: A Novel – And The World Today

I recently finished listening to  “The Ministry for the Future: A Novel” by Kim Stanley Robinson. 

The book focuses on the impacts of climate change in the future. Near the start of the book there is a heatwave that strikes India harder than the rest of the world. 20 million people die.
This makes me think of the link of this event compared to the current wave of covid sweeping through India and what actions they may take as a result?

In the book there are various attacks by environmental terrorist style groups to try to force companies and individuals to reduce their carbon footprint. 

While I don’t condone that type of violence, much of history is driven by violence, and usually the history books are written by the winners, who write their violence off as justified.

This leads me to consider the link between “The Ministry for the Future: A Novel” and another book I am reading now, “Rethinking Humanity: Five Foundational Sector Disruptions, the Lifecycle of Civilizations, and the Coming Age of Freedom (RethinkX Sector Disruption) Paperback –  by Tony Seba, James Arbib”. They are not proposing violence for any change, but they point to how technological change could lead to societal change, and has in the past. And how “Organizational systems” need to adapt to times, or collapse. Historically, they have collapsed, but they are proposing that we have the change to no collapse, this time. I recommend this book to everyone. 

Another development in “The Ministry for the Future: A Novel”  is the carbon coin. This makes me think of a paper written by ARK investment group and Square (the company). It is a very short read (5 pages).

“Bitcoin is Key to an Abundant, Clean Energy Future In this memo, we aim to explain how the Bitcoin network functions as a unique energy buyer that could enable society to deploy substantially more solar and wind generation capacity. This deployment, along with energy storage, aims to facilitate the transition to a cleaner and more resilient electricity grid. We believe that the energy asset owners of today can become the essential bitcoin miners of tomorrow. “ – Link 

The implication is that bitcoin can create an incentive to develop clean energy as long as you can incorporate bitcoin mining as a secondary income source for the green energy when it is not being used by the grid. This would allow a buildup of excess energy supply in the grid that would be used by customers as needed but alternatively used to mine bitcoin, and thus create profit, when there is excess.


I am not aware of this happening yet. Although there are plenty of grid scale battery storage solutions that are replacing “peaker” power plants and providing tremendous payback to their developers. So that is a 3rd option for excess renewable grid buildout. 


There are even more reasons besides temporary surges in use for peaker plants. A coal power plant apparently suffered an explosion in Australia and  a battery plant was able to provide instant backup. 

Various battery plants have also paid back their build cost relatively quickly. 

Back to Bitcoin. The largest risk for Bitcoin is it’s challenge to the sovereignty of Ffat currency of any nation. If it does challenge a nation’s ability to collect taxes in their own fiat currency, it will be outlawed. On the other side though, gold is a current store of value that does not fundamentally topple the current fiat money system, but lives alongside it. If bitcoin were to continue in that manner, it would be fine.

I often call the USD (and all other government issued currency) as “backed by bombs”. This is in reference to any government’s “monopoly on violence”.

Meaning that the threat of violence by the government if you don’t pay your taxes, in their designated currency. 

Various governments have already outlawed Bitcoin, such as the Chinese government, despite a large percentage of Bitcoin mining happening in China.


Other overreaching governments such as Turkey have also outlawed Bitcoin.

What does that mean for Bitcoin in the USA? It is unclear yet. Personally, I hope it is regulated and taxed as a normal currency eventually, (and not as as art or gold, which have very high tax rates as collectibles).

Basic Income, Shareholder Value, Health Care, Taxes

I was reading up on Michael Tubbs, the former Stockton Mayor who started a basic income pilot. I was curious why he didn’t win reelection. Here was the story I found.

He has started a larger group of Mayors championing a basic income. That is a great legacy of his career so far.  

In other basic income pilot news, Sam Altman’s Y-combinator is still working on their basic income pilots. And Sam Altman has written a very thought provoking piece on basic income. He proposes this income be funded by the following – “We could do something called the American Equity Fund. The American Equity Fund would be capitalized by taxing companies above a certain valuation 2.5% of their market value each year, payable in shares transferred to the fund, and by taxing 2.5% of the value of all privately-held land, payable in dollars.” 

This year Apple is spending $90 billion in share buybacks, which is about 4% worth of their company value when valued at $2.17 trillion dollars.

As far as how profitable other companies are, the answer is “very profitable”. 

“We already have American tax payers supporting companies, first banks and GM  in 2008 and now airlines in 2020 when they might go bankrupt, or when they do. But the American People aren’t getting paid back for their support. 

So I think it’s only fair for taxpayers to get a substantial piece of the upside in return for bailing out these companies. And in the process, bailing out their shareholders, who would be left with nothing if the companies failed.

Yes, this is the same point I made last week about a taxpayer bailout of Boeing.

But it’s a point that we should keep in mind every time we see companies line up at the bailout trough. If many of these companies hadn’t spent lots of money to buy back their own stock to prop up its price, they wouldn’t need anywhere near as much money as they need now.

That’s especially true of these four airlines. Almost seven out of every eight dollars the four airlines sent Wall Street from 2015 through 2019–$39.1 billion out of $44.7 billion — went for share buybacks. The rest went for dividends, according to my calculations based on the companies’ Securities & Exchange Commission filings.” – Washington Post

We need to move to a system that focus on humans, not the economy and profits. 

This would be something similar to human centered capitalism, as promoted by Andrew Yang. 

We already have some institutions that their sole driver is not profit. Credit unions supposedly have their owners, who are also their users, needs as a priority, instead of just profit. 

Vanguard is a company that both serves it’s owners and it’s users.

If we increased the base of each companies shareholders to include everyone, there would be more incentive to “help everyone” instead of “maximize profits”.

While researching this I stumbled upon this series of articles about Stakeholder value. It is quite interesting. Here are some top comments, but I suggest reading it for yourself. 

“The most successful firms today are those that pursue what Peter Drucker long ago saw to be “true North” for a corporation: “there is only one valid purpose of a corporation: to create a customer”. Generating fresh value for customers is the foundation the basis for generating benefits for all the stakeholders.” – Forbes

Finally, another thing that would help small business and entrepreneurs everywhere, as well as helping people stay health is Universal health care in the USA.


“You know what would really help me as a business owner? Universal health care. The money we pay to subsidize employee health care is astronomical and grows every year. I’ll happily pay higher taxes to cut out health insurance companies that make $40 billion a year in profit.” – Dan Price CEO


Admittedly this is a fairly loosely held together narrative of ideas I’ve been thinking about lately, but I hope by sharing them it gets other people thinking about them too.

Precision Fermentation

The below is a lightly edited email I sent to a few friends. Because it takes so long to fully research and put together ideas, I haven’t been posting a lot lately. But I want to continue to use this blog to share ideas and have dialogue with others. I am posting this (lightly edited) to see if anyone else finds this sort of information interesting. Enjoy!

This guy (Tony Seba)  has a few very interesting pdfs available (pretty long well put together documents) about future and emerging technologies. Tony runs Rethink. Catherine Tubbs wrote the paper “RETHINKING FOOD AND AGRICULTURE 2020-2030” and Tony was a co-writer.

Last I checked the Tony Seba/Home link was broken. But the below link to Rethink Website should work. You can access the reports under the “reports” tab.

https://www.rethinkx.com/

Precision Fermentation is the main topic in “RETHINKING FOOD AND AGRICULTURE 2020-2030” 

All free downloads. 

I suspect RETHINKING ENERGY 2020-2030 is good too although I haven’t gotten to read yet.

The technologies are being deployed quickly in lower markets (protein ingredients). 

https://vegconomist.com/fashion-und-beauty/worlds-first-cell-based-collagen-product-zellulin-is-revealed-by-avant/amp/

And there is a lot of funding out there. https://www.fooddive.com/news/record-435m-invested-in-fermentation-this-year-report-says/585444/

I was wondering if ethanol plants could be repurposed for precision fermentation? That’s basically what they do now.

This YouTube video is a summary of a longer interview of Catherine Tubbs who wrote the RETHINKING FOOD AND AGRICULTURE 2020-2030″ it has a link in the video description to the full 45 minute podcast.  Pretty fascinating. 

Can I buy a Tesla in Iowa? – No

Iowa has a Republican governor who claims (like all Republicans) to be pro business. We also have a strong clean energy economy both through our adoption of ethanol as well as windmills for electricity. Because of all these things it is egregious that the best selling electric car in the world is not able to be purchased in Iowa. Tesla cars are unable to be purchased in Iowa due to a law related to dealership franchises, which Tesla does not have.
No one likes going to dealers. They are awful to deal with. They jerk you around on vehicle sale price. They try to talk you into buying something more than you need or can afford. I can’t say I have ever met someone who is genuinely excited about going to a car dealer.
Alternatively, Tesla, which makes the most efficient and best selling EV’s in the world, and which are made in the USA, are unable to be purchased in Iowa, the state with the highest amount of green wind energy per capita.
Tesla vehicle pricing is also clear on their website. Everyone pays the same for a Tesla. 

I have personally written multiple of my state representatives and senators to try to get them to make a move on this to remove this law from the books.
Here was my interaction with the state representative (I will tell you which one if you ask me directly). 

Dear Rep.

Iowa is a state that has approximately 40% of it’s energy supplied by windmills. We say we are a green state. But residents are unable to purchase a Tesla, the best selling electric car ever, in our state. This is due to archaic laws and crony capitalism. I urge you to help change these laws. – Axel Hoogland

Reply – 

Dear Axel Hoogland,

Thank you for your email.  I had no idea it was such a problem to buy a Tesla in Iowa. I spoke with another legislator who owns a Tesla and she said it was because of franchisees code. You are able to buy a Tesla in Iowa but it remains difficult to pick one up anywhere nearby. Unfortunately there is not a coalition nor political will to move language forward. I will watch this…it doesn’t seem to be fair nor help us reach our sustainability goals. Please email me anytime.

Yours, Rep.

This is representative of every email I have sent to a politician, regardless of the policy I am addressing. Admitting that it is bad, backpedaling that “there is no will to do anything about it.”


That is why I am sharing my views with the internet. I would ask anyone who thinks that you should be able to buy a Tesla in Iowa to just send your state representative or state senator a short email. You could even copy mine.  (below) 

Here is where you can find the list of Iowa State Representatives. Email any one of them, or all of them!  https://www.legis.iowa.gov/legislators/house

Dear Rep.

Iowa is a state that has approximately 40% of it’s energy supplied by windmills. We say we are a green state. But residents are unable to purchase a Tesla, the best selling electric car ever, in our state. This is due to archaic laws and crony capitalism. I urge you to help change these laws. – Your Name

It seems like a very simple law to erase. The only people who it seems to benefit are the car dealerships, not individuals. So why won’t state politicians change this law?

There was even an 80 pager report in 2016 from the Iowa Economic Development Authority titled “Advancing Iowa’s Electric Vehicle Market” which specifically mentioned the issue that Tesla’s are unable to be sold in Iowa. If they truly wanted to “Advance the Electric Vehicle Market” in Iowa the easiest and best thing they could do would be to allow the cars to be sold here.That report can be found here.

https://www.iowaeconomicdevelopment.com/userdocs/programs/AdvancingIowasElectricVehicleMarketReport.pdf

Page 55 (pdf page 62) shared the information about Tesla/dealership laws in Iowa.

Like all progress that is inevitable, sometime in the next 10 years it is very likely that Iowa citizens will be able to purchase a Tesla in the state of Iowa. I am giving state politicians an easy win here by asking them to overturn an arcane law that is hurting a progressive American Business and hurting Iowans, making them drive out of state to make a large purchase.

Working From Home, UBI, $600 Unemployment

I have seen complaints from Republicans about how the $600/week unemployment benefit has worked out. There are many complaints that it is too much and is disincentivizing people to go back to work. I agree, to some extent. If you give people incentives to not go back to work, they obviously won’t go back! But we should consider if there is a better alternative. $2,400 month (4 weeks) for people is a lot, on top of any other planned unemployment benefits. As I recall Andrew Yang was proposing $1,000 month for people as a basic income. There was huge push back on “How would you pay for that?” despite Yang having a very clear way to pay for it. (see picture below). 

$2,400/month is 2.4x the $1,000 proposed. Why was it so much? My understanding is it was set at $600/week to get “the average” worker too 100% of their pre-layoff income. I am unclear why that was a goal. I think there could be a little personal liability to try to cover a little of your lost earnings when there is a mess like we are in. But what I really want to point out is the PPP cost $669 billion of which most went to workers (per the law) and a bit was available to cover utilities etc. 

Why didn’t we just let people be laid off and collect unemployment, give businesses a much smaller lifeline (25% of $669 billion to cover utilities etc) and let the rest be used for a UBI to some extent. I don’t even care if I was personally left out of the UBI. Give it some arbitrary cut off of $50k or less a year 2019 income. That would have been $500 billion dollars for 4 months. 

$500 billion could have provided a UBI of $1,000/month for 125 million people for 4 months. In 2018 there were only 150 million people working full time so that is nearly the full amount of people! Why did we have to use the PPP, serve less people and make people continue to be tied to their work? We are so obsessed with tying people to a job, it is insane. 

““You’re turning the business into a pass-through for the federal government,” said Joe Walsh, who owns Clean Green Maine, a cleaning service in Portland, Maine with 35 employees. “You’re doing very little to actually help the business.” – Chicago Tribute

It is almost as crazy as the feeling for employers that they “Need to get employees back to the office asap”. Many people have been working from home for 4 months.  If people have been successfully working from home for 4 months, what is the rush to get them “back to the office”? I understand some people need to be in the office. Personally my job has some interaction with manufacturing so I am in the office every day now. But many of my colleagues are successfully working from home. I don’t see a reason to “rush them back”. It seems to me the only reason to do that is because of some deeply ingrained mistrust of employees from the very upper echelons of business that if employees are not being watched like hawks they will be screwing off. Some companies are getting it, like Square, which seems to be transitioning to fully work from home permanently

Another thing I don’t get is how Republicans, “the media” and many essential workers are angry at people who are unemployed and receiving $600/week. On a very surface level it makes sense, you see someone “getting paid to do nothing” while you are a hard working essential person. Think “I am paying for that lazy loser.” Etc. But realistically, most of the laid off people would be happy to have continued to keep working, or at least being able to provide for their families, if possible. There is an odd set of circumstances that some people are laid off adn some aren’t. But the “essential vs unemployed” fight is a fight between THE SAME GROUP OF PEOPLE! Or at least they were part of the same group of people until right before some of them lost their jobs. It is crazy to me that the “essential” people so quickly turned their anger towards the people who are getting money from the government program that it is likely they could have received money from too except for a specific set of circumstances. That person receiving $600 has no impact on your life. You are not receiving less because of that, except for the fact that you all are not demanding a UBI! 

I will share a meme (below) to try to get the point across. Not that I hold anything personally against Jeff Bezos (although many people do). But it’s trying to make a point. 

So, anyone who is working a job currently, please stop being mad at the unemployed people who got $600/week for a few months. Start being mad at the government for a shitty response. Then start writing your senators and House of Representatives and asking why a Basic Income is still not being considered, for ALL!

Andrew Yang

Twelve Reasons to Vote for Andrew Yang – Another good post about Yang!

I am going to put my “outro” at the start here in case people don’t get through this whole post!

Outro

I think it is vital to get a forward thinker like Andrew Yang in the White House in 2020. I am writing this to request that anyone who is reading this specifically consider reading about Andrew Yang more via his book, The War on Normal People: The Truth About America’s Disappearing Jobs and Why Universal Basic Income Is Our Future, which as always, I will buy for you if you are willing to read it! The book is even on YouTube if you don’t want to buy it. 

You can also watch many of the podcasts Yang had some such as Joe Rogan or Sam Harris.If you think you can support Yang for president, you can donate to his campaign, and please vote for him in your Primary or Caucus for him in your state!

Start – 

I attended an Andrew Yang event in Waterloo, Iowa recently. I ended up eating with someone who is taking time off their job to work for Yang’s campaign.

He is going door to door, talking with people about if they will support Yang in the Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus February 3rd, 2020, not necessarily if they would vote for him in the Presidential race in November 2020. The caucus, along with Primaries in many other states helps determine who the Democratic candidate for president in November 2020 will be. 

Why is he talking to people about the caucus specifically? There are many people who will vote straight ticket in the general election, regardless of who is their party’s candidate is. I had that realization after talking with some people at the restaurant after the event. “I would vote for a piece of poo instead of Trump.” was the person’s exact words. 

I can understand that sentiment. But I don’t necessarily feel that way. I am tired of voting for the lesser of 2 evils. That’s is how Trump won in the first place. Hillary was a bad choice for a candidate.

Andrew Yang acknowledges that there are a lot of issues in the country right now, which some Democratic Candidates do not, and was one of the main issues of Hillary’s campaign. She said things were fine! Many other Democratic candidates think the only problem is Trump. Yang recognizes that Trump is not the problem but a symptom. Trump recognized a lot of the correct problems. The difference between Trump and Yang is Trump is looking backwards, while Yang is the candidate of the future. Many of the other democratic candidates are just making noise.

Yang is the data candidate. He looks at what the data is saying, for example, life expectancy is going down in America, due to suicides and drug overdoses. That’s a problem, but it’s a result of people feeling down, losing jobs, losing economic power, etc.

Although the “Freedom Dividend” (Basic Income), is a policy of Yang’s that gets a ton of attention, I think a more important one is “Human Centered Capitalism”.

There is a saying that goes something like this “You get what you measure.” Since we measure GDP and the Stock Market, we are certainly maximizing those things. But only 20% of people are participating in any meaningful way in the stock market and no one makes money directly from GDP. 

We need to think about people, not just GDP. That’s where Human Centered Capitalism comes in. In Human Centered Capitalism, people come first. If all jobs were 100% automated (a possibility in the future and something that should be a goal) we would have a great GDP and high returns on investment, but how would individual people be doing? With no income, likely not well! We are already somewhat in this situation now. 78% of  people are living paycheck to paycheck, you might even be one of them!
Many people I talk to about this blame the people in this situation. I think that’s a form of victim blaming. 

There are so many factors in each person’s individual journey from child to productive adult. There are many barriers in front of people and very different barriers. We need to help each other achieve our potentials. 

There are many programs available to help people reach their potential, but there is a better way, the Freedom Dividend. This will allow each person some money to help pick a direction to take in life and if it happens they took the wrong direction, they will be able to reevaluate and picka  new direction. The issue with today is if you are stuck in a job, you likely have no way to leave. 78% of people can not leave their job without extreme hardship, due to living paycheck to paycheck. 

Because the government has a vastly larger budget compared to any company, $4 trillion dollars a year, the government has to be a part of solving problems.

People who have a problem with the government being involved in things need to read “23 Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism”. That book cured me from thinking about the government as an evil entity trying to take away everyone’s rights. 

Another on Andrew Yang’s policies, Democracy Dollars, will help get more people into politics via funding, and help lower income people contribute to candidates they like. 

Because of all these things, I think it is vital to get a forward thinker like Andrew Yang in the White House in 2020. I am writing this to request that anyone who is reading this specifically consider reading about Andrew Yang more via his book, The War on Normal People: The Truth About America’s Disappearing Jobs and Why Universal Basic Income Is Our Future, which as always, I will buy for you if you are willing to read it! The book is even on YouTube if you don’t want to buy it. 

You can also watch many of the podcasts Yang had some such as Joe Rogan or Sam Harris.If you think you can support Yang for president, you can donate to his campaign, and please vote for him in your Primary or Caucus for him in your state!

Mid 02019 Update

It’s been almost a year since my last post and I didn’t do an end of 02017 or  02018 post. Since the start of a year is a relatively arbitrary time in our trips around the sun and happens at different times in certain countries I think a minor update could be appropriate. 

A few big things happened this year. 
I started a financial advising business.
I bought a duplex.
I started funding a chicken farm in Haiti. 

In August 2018 I started Highland Wealth Management. I met Mike Finley 4 or 5 years ago. He teaches classes at the college in town about personal finances. I learned a lot from him and continued on from there. I started this business because I saw how inefficient most people’s finances are. My main goal with this business is to save people hundreds of thousands of dollars over their life. This means keeping more money with the investor and having less go to the advisor. If you look at how much most financial advisors take, it’s a lot 1% to 2.5% a year, of your money! The actual value being provided is very very little. With a few hours of time investment with a fiduciary financial advisor, most people can save more money over their life than they will make in years of working.

I bought a duplex in May 2019. As part of my own personal financial journey I thought getting into owning a rental property might be a good idea. I am living in one side of the duplex and renting the other side. Below are the calculations i used to justify this purchase. I assume the return of the stock market is about 9%-10% a year. A duplex has to return above that for me to even consider it. The below also does not take into account the equity build up for the mortgage pay off. 

Many of my friends are into rental properties. I had been living in an apartment for about 7 years so I thought it was time for a change. I think this will help me in my advising business also if people have rental properties I can help them determine if it’s really a good fit for them or not. While some places are good, I have also seen many cases, for example of inherited properties, that people should just sell.

On purchasing/financing the property. I ended with a 30 year loan at 4.25%. At the time if I’d bought a house the rate was 4%. They were able to raise the rate .25% on a duplex “just because”. That being said, since I was owner occupying the property, I was able to get a 30 year loan with a lower rate than if I was buying it commercially. At the time a commercial loan was 5% and the term was only 20 years, instead of 30. I like the lower rate and longer timeline because it allows a better, more sure, cash flow. For me, cash flow is a key thing for a rental property. I also purchased a place that needed very little as far as work done to make it livable, actually no work. While there are a few cosmetic things I could fix such as a few holes in the siding or other little things like that, this property did not require any major renovations. For me, that was a good first choice.It even came with tenants in one side. That was also nice as when I signed the mortgage the old owners signed a $250 prorated check for the rest of that months rent! The next day as I was moving in the tenants paid me for the next month. So while this has all worked out well for me so far (4 months in, through summer), I still can not say it’s for everyone. There are many other blogs and sources of information on rental properties if you are interested. Or ask me any questions you might have!

If you recall from my 02016 year end review, I had bought into a solar field at the power company at my old apartment. When I moved I had to sell those back to the company. I recooped about $880 from that investment that was $1080. In the end it was about a wash as far as money goes. But the environmental impacts were a positive that were not directly measured, at least not by me. 

I took the money from that sale and bought an electric lawn mower for my new house! I bought an Ego 21” deck, self propelled (push) lawn mower for $500 at Home Depot. While I could have gotten a cheap gas powered push mower for as low as $100, a self propelled Honda gas mower can be as much as $500 also so purchase price was not really more expensive than a comparable gas mower for the Ego electric mower. This was my first foray into electric vehicles (after my self build electric bike, which used a kit, and was a bit of a failure, in execution. The concept of electric bikes is still good. There are many good electric bikes built by manufacturers. I would recommend one of those over a kit). (I also have an electric coffee mug which I really like.) I am very happy with the electric lawn mower. I use the self-propelled all the time as well as the mulching, using as much energy as possible, which leads to the shortest battery life. It usually mows my whole lawn, which takes about 30 minutes. In the off chance it doesn’t I just plug the battery in, which fully charges in 1 hr, and finish up the last 10 minutes of mowing. Not having to deal with gas or oil or spark plugs is fantastic and one reason I expect electric to take over for most gas application in the near future. 

I started a chicken egg business/farm in Haiti with Jhon. I have mentioned Jhon before as far as helping him via paying for his schooling. Jhon told me of an idea he had for a chicken farm. He believed he would be able to sell eggs to local stores. I was hesitant but provided enough money to buy 30 chickens ($15/chicken) as well as to build out a coop, a few hundred dollars. Jhon set up all the business as far as having someone take care of the chickens, his cousin, someone deliver the eggs to business, a neighbor, as well as a different person to collect the money. Jhon is actually studying in a different city than the chickens are. This is a great hands off business, as far as the day to day running. Jhon said the alternative for eggs is they are shipped in from the Dominician Republic. The price of a chicken is $15 and the monthly return is $2/chicken. In less than 1 year a chicken has paid for itself! If the chicken lives 2 years it’s provided a 220% return! After about 3 months of seeing the business work with 30 chickens I decided to purchase 70 more to get the business up to the full size Jhon initially envisioned. The farm now has 100 chickens.

Jhon is using this money to fund the rest of his college himself. I am no longer paying for his college directly! This is very exciting for me for 2 reasons.

  1. I don’t have to continually put money in with no direct return to myself.
  2. Jhon is creating a self sufficient business. He will learn and earn through this business.

I recently finished a book called “The Prosperity Paradox: How Innovation Can Lift Nations Out of Poverty”. Along with other books I’ve read like “Toxic Charity” and “When Helping Hurts” I think that investing in business, teaching a man to fish, is much more valuable in the long term than just giving money. I am hoping to continue to support Jhon in his various entrepreneurial ideas going forward.