Tag Archives: inflation

Monetary Premium

Posted on by
Reply

I keep thinking of new ways to think about what value Bitcoin provides. Below is the way I thought about it today. It started while talking with a friend at a coffee shop about money. We discussed the gold standard and he asked how it would be possible to go to a gold standard today. The market capitalization of all the gold in the world today is only about $13.7 trillion and the value of all the money in the world is around $450 trillion. Gold currently costs about $2,000/oz. To fully back the $450 trillion of money with gold the gold would have to significantly appreciate. It would increase it’s monetary premium. In fact some central banks have explicitly said they are buying more gold in case this happens!

In a recent interview the Dutch central bank (DNB) shares it has equalized its gold reserves, relative to GDP, to other countries in the eurozone and outside of Europe. This has been a political decision. If there is a financial crisis the gold price will skyrocket,

This website, gold survival guide, did a calculation of what you’d have to reprice gold to, in US dollars, to get only a 26% backing. They determined that you’d need gold to be worth $33,690/oz. This would be a significant monetary premium on gold over what it is worth today. 

To reach a 26% gold backing, the price of gold would need to increase 17.31 times. ($8.76 trillion or $8,760 billion divided by $506 billion = 17.31).

That is a gold price of $33,690 per troy ounce.

Conclusion: To match the 1934 and 1980 “reset” prices and back US debt by the same percentage of 26%, gold would need to be priced at just under US$33,700 per troy ounce!

Many things that are semi-scarce have a monetary premium. A monetary premium is the premium that the market gives a good that has the ability to perform the functions of a money. Money’s primary function is to serve as a medium of exchange. However, before society will use something as a medium of exchange, the good must first be able to function as a store of value. Therefore, one of the functions of a money is to store value.

Gold is the most commonly thought of thing that has a monetary premium. Houses are a good example of something that people don’t often think of that has a monetary premium. Many houses are bought by speculators to store value. For example:

Chinese homebuyers accounted for nearly one-third of Vancouver’s real estate market during 2015, spending approximately $9.6 billion of the $29 billion of total real estate sales, according to a new study by the National Bank of Canada.

Rich Chinese buyers are willing to use houses, which are not very liquid, to store value outside of China. It is a lot simpler way to get value out of the country. It would look a lot more suspicious if they just shipped hundreds of thousands of dollars out of China and parked it in a bank. But to buy a property is an “acceptable” reason to take money out of the country. People are resourceful and will find ways to store value. 

People want assets that will rise with inflation. They can be willing to pay more than the utility value of the asset to acquire it. Unfortunately, it’s never explicitly stated or even talked about that some things have a monetary premium on top of their utility value. Commodities like corn or oil have very little or usually no monetary premium.Their only value is from the things they can be used to do. They don’t store well. To have a monetary premium a good has to have a long life, like gold or houses. Stocks are another thing that has a monetary premium.


One thing that also has a monetary premium that is not often talked about is money! People like to talk about the fact that Bitcoin has no “intrinsic value”. Do you know what is another thing that has no intrinsic value? US dollars. Think about it. What gives a dollar its value? It is it’s network effects. It is accepted as valuable by others. Gold has a utility value as well as a monetary premium. Some people get confused by gold having a utility value and they think that any money has to have a utility value. But that is not true, as evidenced by the US dollar, the primary money in the world, having no intrinsic value! In fact there is really only 1 major difference between US dollars and bitcoin. US dollars can be created at will by the US government, and are everyday. This reduces the purchasing power of every existing dollar, including the ones you own and worked to earn. 

Bitcoin has a fixed supply. Once you own a fraction of a bitcoin, you own that much of the total bitcoin network. There is no  way for anyone to steal your percentage of the network by creating more bitcoin

I often say, if the government quit printing dollars, we wouldn’t need bitcoin. Every government that has had their own currency in history has always printed and debased that currency until it has lost all value. See the Romans. They literally has physical silver coins. They would periodically recall them, melt them down, dilute the silver percentage and reissue them. Initially they would act like they were the same value of coin, but as people came to realize that new coins had less silver they would require more coins for the same goods. 
So back to the monetary premium. US dollars have no inherent value. Neither does bitcoin. But US dollars have a created monetary premium from their acceptance as a means of payment. There is no reason that bitcoin, or anything else that a group of individuals choose to use as a store of value and means of payment could become that and gain some of the monetary premium that dollars have. In essence we can transfer the monetary premium from dollars to bitcoin, if we choose to. In El Salvador bitcoin is already accepted as a means of payment. Many individuals and businesses around the world have already individually chosen to accept bitcoin as a means of payment.
SInce dollars don’t reliably store value, due to the ability of the government to print more, why wouldn’t people choose to store value in a tool that it is impossible to make more of? That is why I choose to store some of my value in bitcoin. If you are interested in talking about the idea of monetary premium more, or the idea of transferring monetary premium from one good to another, get in touch!

Why Bitcoin? And Why Social Security Is Awful.

Posted on by
Reply

Why do I spend so much time reading about Bitcoin and writing about Bitcoin and telling others about Bitcoin? I do it because I want the world to be a better place. Historically, I have given money to many charities to try to make the world a better place. I think that is still a good thing to do. But I’ve always wondered why the world is so messed up in the first place? Many things don’t seem to work. 

At a more naive point in my life I told a friend “I want to work to get rid of money.” Because I had this feeling that somehow money was making the world a worse place. I have obviously grown in my thinking immensely since then.
I now see money as the clear tool it is to foster trade and specialization. Money is actually imperative to a functioning society.
Trade and specialization increase efficiency and make the world a more abundant place.

Unfortunately, the money we have is not functional itself. There are over 100 fiat currencies in the world, Yen, Yuan, USD, Euro, and a hundred more.
So while there is more abundance for some, the abundance is actually concentrated and many are exploited.

Each currency is dysfunctional in the same way. New units are created everyday, reducing the value of each existing Dollar, Euro, Yen, etc.
It is no wonder that there are so many issues in the world when an entity, (the Government) is able to print money and manipulate the market to purchase as much as they want for any pet project that a politician has.

Just 1 example that I am highly against is Social Security.
I went through and created a hypothetical person who started working in 1984 at the age of 25 (after being born in 1959). 

If that person started making $10k in 1984 that would be equivalent to $30k/year in 2024.
I gave this person a 3% raise a year. You can see that in the “income column” below. So this person would have ended working in 2024 with a salary of $32k/year (being 65 years old).

The next column shows the 12.5%/year that this person + their employer is paying into Social Security. After 40 years this person would have paid $98k into Social Security.
I went through and put all the earnings data into the Social Security website benefit calculator, found here. 

https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/AnypiaApplet.html

It provided an estimate of $1,378/month or $16,536/year. 

I provided an alternative column, where you would instead take that 12.5%/year and invest that in the S&P 500 for 40 years.

As of January 26, 2024, the S&P 500’s price is 4,890.97. If you invested $100 in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 1984, you would have about $6,606.25 at the end of 2023, assuming you reinvested all dividends. This is a return on investment of 6,506.25%, or 11.14% per year.
This person would have $1,074,860.37  in their 401k. They could safely withdraw $42,944/year from this (4%) as well as having a portfolio worth $1 million dollars! This is making a relatively low $30k per year equivalent for 40 years!

But most people I know who have made $30k a year for 40 years do not have a million dollar portfolio. Why is that?

It’s because they are unable to invest 12% of their salary a year, because it is required to go to the government and the Social Security Fund. This is robbing millions of workers of $25k/year in their retirement. 

You could go through this same exercise. Simply go to https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/AnypiaApplet.html

And input the dollar amount in the table for each year to find the benefit. 

This is bad enough for a $30k/year equivalent worker. The more money you make though, the worse of a deal Social Security is. This is because of the “knee points” in the Social Security return table. The more you pay in, the less you get out. https://retireby40.org/early-retirement-impact-social-security-benefit/

While Social Security being a terrible return on your money is something of a first world problem, there are plenty of other instances of money losing value in other countries that really hurts people in those countries. 

You can read from Alex Gladstein to learn about some of those. 

“The rate of inflation in the U.S. is paltry compared to many other countries worldwide. The chief strategy officer for the Human Rights Foundation, Alex Gladstein highlighted this issue on Monday in a series of tweets. Gladstein is also a bitcoin (BTC) proponent and has been an evangelist for the leading crypto asset for quite some time.

“Many might think that extreme inflation is a rare occurrence in today’s modern world,” Gladstein said to his 27,000 Twitter followers on Monday. “That’s simply not the case. There are 1.2 billion people currently living in countries experiencing double or triple-digit inflation,” Gladstein insisted.”

https://news.bitcoin.com/1-2-billion-people-live-under-double-digit-inflation-many-have-found-escape-in-bitcoin-says-hrfs-alex-gladstein/

Why Bitcoin Makes The World Better – The Bitcoin Layer and “How My Co-worker Identified the Issues Without Identifying The Causes”

Posted on by
Reply

F.A. Hayek in 1984: “I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can’t stop.”

First 15 minutes of the podcast “Why Bitcoin Makes The World Better – The Bitcoin Layer”- I think this is a great 15 minute video to learn about “why Bitcoin” if you aren’t sure what “problem Bitcoin is trying to solve”.

Full episode – Why Bitcoin Makes The World Better – The Bitcoin Layer

Inflation/money printing by the government is a hidden tax, or more nefariously, theft of your savings.

I received the below email from a coworker related to this home for sale.

https://www.homesofiowa.com/idx/listing/IA-WCFMLS/20233854/4426-Granite-Ridge-Road-Cedar-Falls-IA-50613

I was walking the dog tonight and there are several new houses down the street. I looked up what they go for. There is a video of it on the page, it’s a just a house.  Nothing huge, with some basement finished. – coworker

I shared the below picture with this coworker. If you are measuring the world in USD then things are getting more expensive. But if you are measuring in Bitcoin, things are getting cheaper, as Jeff Booth explains in the initial Youtube video I shared above. 

Below is the rest of my reply to this coworker. 

You could always try to put multiple families together in one house, as times will get desperate. That would be the historic solution. And as you said, as people are poorer, they will just have to do it again.

There are plenty of very poor both in the USA and abroad already living this way.

As referenced from the trip I just got back from India from.

Most of the world is ALREADY poor. The USA has benefited from being able to export inflation to the rest of the world for the last 50 years.

We do this by everyone having to buy USD to buy oil. Then every country has a huge pile of US treasuries/dollars. Then we print more.
Printing money is effectively stealing value from people who hold dollars.
That is why NO ONE ever wants to have cash for longer than they have to.

Don’t you think that’s kind of crazy that no one actually wants US dollars “money”?

We buy bonds, gold, real estate, stocks, anything to store the value because we know that dollars lose value over time. It’s wild!

It’s even more obvious in countries like Argentina or Turkey where they have REALLY awful money. But our money also sucks for preserving value over time.

It all started with 1971 and removing the gold backing of the USD. Well really that started in 1930 with executive order 6102 which the government confiscated people’s gold. Paid them $20.67/oz of gold. Then repriced the dollar to $35/oz! they literally stole $15 worth for every oz of gold they took. It is crazy!

$15 was real money back then!

Gold, Silver, Debt To GDP, Wealth Preservation

So I’m just saying you are noticing the results, extremely high home prices. Things getting more expensive. I am telling you there is a clear history to how we got here. And there is literally 1 solution to this problem. Well 2 but 1 will never happen.

If the US government quit over spending and printing new dollars that would fix it. But that will NEVER happen.
So the alternate solution is to save in a currency that has a maximum limit, 21 million bitcoin.

If we DON’T support the bitcoin network we will continue down this path of everything getting more expensive.
I have read so many books about the history of money and governments messing with money. It always happens this way.

The Romans debased their money, see below.


See quote below.

I really encourage you to learn more about bitcoin. It is our only hope.

Super short book, 2 hours on audible, but it’s really great.

The Bullish Case for Bitcoin Paperback – May 8, 2021

by Vijay Boyapati (Author)

F.A. Hayek in 1984: “I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can’t stop.”

Open Letter To Iowa Representatives about Bitcoin

Posted on by
2

I have written the below open letter to my Iowa representatives about Bitcoin. I have also emailed it to them with a link to this post so they are able to get to the links below. I encourage you to go to your own representatives websites and email them this also.

I am writing this letter to you directly, you can also find the text below with links to specific articles I recommend you read. https://mywheellife.com/2023/12/18/open-letter-to-iowa-representatives-about-bitcoin/

Senator Grassley, Senator Ernst and Congresswoman Hinson

I am writing to you concerning Bitcoin in general and Senator Elizabeth Warren’s “Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act” in particular. 

I would like to first refer you to the video “Elizabeth Warren’s Anti-Bitcoin Agenda with Perianne Boring” on the “What Bitcoin Did” podcast. 

“Warren’s bill, the Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act, aims to solve a problem that no one has. It that would classify nearly all crypto industry participants — from wallet providers to miners to validators — as financial institutions, subjecting them to the onerous compliance regime of the Bank Secrecy Act. Under this bill, a teenager running a bitcoin mining rig in his basement could be subject to the same compliance burdens as JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs.

But wallet providers, miners, and validators are not banks. They do not hold custody of assets. They certainly should not be collecting or storing the sensitive personal financial information of individual users of an asset. They merely provide infrastructure — the open-source software and computing power to help secure the network. Much like Microsoft, which also supplies a lot of software and cybersecurity products to financial institutions, they are not financial institutions. 

It would be impossible for the industry to comply with Warren’s requirements, and she knows this. The point of her bill is not to improve national security or stop money laundering, but to kill digital asset innovation.” – The Hill

Please also investigate Elizabeth Warren and her collusion with the banks and SEC. I am concerned she is not regulation in good faith. 

Lawyer Says Senator Elizabeth Warren Conspires With SEC Chair Gary Gensler, Violating Her Oath

I want to encourage, you, my representatives, to learn about Bitcoin and it’s many benefits.


I also want you to learn about the benefits of bitcoin mining and it’s ability to mitigate emissions. Specifically, please learn from Daniel Batten and his work into bitcoin mining reducing methane emissions. 

Flared Methane as a Sustainable Power Source for Cryptocurrency Mining

I would also like you to learn from Alex Gladstein about the human rights benefits that Bitcoin provides. He has already tried to speak to congress on this.
Human rights advocates tell Congress bitcoin is essential in countries with ‘collapsing’ currencies

As my representatives, I encourage you to learn about Bitcoin and be a champion and advocate for it. 

Sincerely

Axel Hoogland

Bitcoin Doesn’t Need Anything, Bitcoin Is Already A Store Of Value

Posted on by
Reply

Bitcoin is a store of value, over time.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to have a perfectly stable price over time.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be used in daily transactions. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be able to be transacted in 1 second.
Bitcoin doesn’t need to cost $0.01 to send $1 billion across the world. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be the only money in the world, it can exist alongside government currencies, just like gold does today. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need intrinsic value

Bitcoin doesn’t need a government to give it value.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to run NFT and smart contracts on it’s base chain.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to change the maximum number of 21 million bitcoin.

Bitcoin doesn’t need BIPS (Bitcoin Improvement Protocols)!

Bitcoin needs the properties of a sound money.

It should be scarce. 

It should be divisible.

It should be transmissible.

It should be immutable. 

It should be difficult  (or impossible) to counterfeit.

It should be assayable (easy to verify it is what it says it is).


Bitcoin has all these things already. 

It just needs to be “adopted as a treasury reserve asset” to quote Michael Saylor. Meaning people just need to choose to preserve their wealth in bitcoin, over time.

People don’t need to store all their money in bitcoin. A small percentage of people in the world own gold, but it still has value.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be used in daily transactions to have value. Gold has value but it is not used in daily transactions.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be “legal tender” to have value. Gold has value but it is not legal tender. 

Money should only be used as money. If you give it some other use or value, it’s possible that it’s main use, as money, is twisted such that it’s monetary value gets distorted and it is no longer a good money!

I encourage you to ask questions about “What is Money?” What is the purpose of money? Why do we need money? What things does money need to do to make it useful?

Bitcoin Market Cap, How Much Could 1 Bitcoin Be Worth?

Posted on by
Reply

Much of this post was taken from this tweet from  MD₿TC@MDBitcoin. I felt this information was very helpful so I wanted to share and expand on it.


Original tweet below

The Inevitable Path of #BTC 

I. Global wealth = between $400-$900T

II. Let’s say 10% of Bitcoins are lost.

III. Let’s do a conservative estimate that #BTC captures  ONLY 1% of global wealth, the value of one #Bitcoin would be? 

then imagine 5%?, 10%? 20%? 50%?  

There is no other path, accumulate as if your life depended on it. 🟠

Complete Calculations:

Available Bitcoins:

Total Bitcoin Supply: 21,000,000

Lost Bitcoins: 10% of 21,000,000 = 2,100,000

Available Bitcoins: 21,000,000 – 2,100,000 = 18,900,000

1% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

1% of $400T = $4T

Value of one Bitcoin = $4T / 18,900,000 ≈ $211,640.21

Upper Bound:

1% of $900T = $9T

Value of one Bitcoin = $9T / 18,900,000 ≈ $476,190.48

5% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

5% of $400T = $20T

Value of one Bitcoin = $20T / 18,900,000 ≈ $1,058,201.06

Upper Bound:

5% of $900T = $45T

Value of one Bitcoin = $45T / 18,900,000 ≈ $2,380,952.38

10% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

10% of $400T = $40T

Value of one Bitcoin = $40T / 18,900,000 ≈ $2,116,402.12

Upper Bound:

10% of $900T = $90T

Value of one Bitcoin = $90T / 18,900,000 ≈ $4,761,904.76

20% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

20% of $400T = $80T

Value of one Bitcoin = $80T / 18,900,000 ≈ $4,232,804.23

Upper Bound:

20% of $900T = $180T

Value of one Bitcoin = $180T / 18,900,000 ≈ $9,523,809.52

50% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

50% of $400T = $200T

Value of one Bitcoin = $200T / 18,900,000 ≈ $10,582,010.58

Upper Bound:

50% of $900T = $450T

Value of one Bitcoin = $450T / 18,900,000 ≈ $23,809,523.81

Buy the quantity that you can and put it in cold storage, wait a decade and watch the inevitable path.

-End original tweet. 


There is a lot to unpack there. 

Let’s start with the basics. 

There is between $400T and $900T of wealth in the world. 

For reference at bitcoin’s current price of $26,000 and total coin maximum number of bitcoin ever of 21 million coins, bitcoin’s current market capitalization is $546 billion. This is between 0.067% and 0.13% of all the value in the world. That’s pretty small currently!

Gold has a current market capitalization of $12 trillion. 

That comes to between 1.3% -3% of all the value in the world. 

As noted above, if bitcoin was to capture 1% of the world value  it would be worth between $211k and $476k per coin. This doesn’t even get it to the same market capitalization as gold!

Lower Bound:

1% of $400T = $4T

Value of one Bitcoin = $4T / 18,900,000 ≈ $211,640.21

Upper Bound:

1% of $900T = $9T

Value of one Bitcoin = $9T / 18,900,000 ≈ $476,190.48

Since bitcoin has many features that make it more useful than gold it has a good chance of at least gaining the adoption of 1% of the store of world value. Bitcoin doesn’t have to be used for every daily transaction for it to be useful or valuable. Gold has value and it is not very useful at all for daily transactions. 

Bitcoin has multiple benefits over gold, it can be sent around the world nearly instantly, it can be broken down into very small units (1 satoshi = 0.00000001 bitcoin  which at $26k/bitcoin = $0.01 is equal to 37 satoshis) and various other benefits that bitcoin has). 

These are just a few of the reasons that I think Bitcoin will likely continue to stay around as a store of value and continue to gain adoption and grow in price and value.

How To Buy Bitcoin

Posted on by
Reply

As bitcoin continues to be adopted many people will have a lot of questions. One of the main questions is probably “How do I buy Bitcoin?”

Here is the quickest and likely one of the safest ways to buy bitcoin, go to the google play store (or apple store) on your phone and download “Cash App”. 

Link your bank account. 

Click “Buy bitcoin”. 

Boom, you now own some bitcoin!

I recommend Cash App because they are a Bitcoin only company. There are many copies of Bitcoin like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV) and many others. Don’t be fooled. Only buy Bitcoin (BTC ticker symbol). Since Cash App only sells Bitcoin (BTC) this is not a problem. That is why I recommend Cashapp for starting.
Companies like Robinhood, Coinbase and others sell Bitcoin (BTC) but also sell others like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV), Ethereum (ETH) and thousands of other cryptocurrencies. You want to buy Bitcoin (BTC) only. 

Now you can start learning about bitcoin. Luckily Cashapp has news articles about bitcoin linked in it’s app so you can read there.

You can also follow Michael Saylor on Twitter. He has a lot of great information about bitcoin. One of the best podcasts I have heard about Bitcoin is “The Saylor Series” By Robert Breedlove on the “What is Money Show”. 

Now, owning bitcoin and holding it on the Cashapp app isn’t the safest way to hold bitcoin. While Cashapp is relatively safe, there is still risk that Cashapp goes under. 

An option now is to download a hot wallet to your phone like Muun Wallet, or GreenWallet (from the company Blockstream),  also from the google play store. You can then transfer your bitcoin from Cashapp to your hot wallet, if you want. You don’t have to do this. You can keep your money on Cashapp. It’s like keeping money at a bank. Using Muun wallet is like keeping cash in a safe at your home. I would suggest learning more about wallets before you transfer your bitcoin to a wallet. I also wouldn’t buy thousands and thousands of dollars in bitcoin until you understand it more. 

Continue to learn more about Bitcoin through various articles. Don’t buy more Bitcoin than you need. You only need as much as you’ll never sell. Bitcoin is not a thing to sell. Bitcoin is a thing to buy, regardless of price.
Don’t panic sell your Bitcoin if the price goes down from $100k to $50k or even $30k again! This is the nature of bitcoin, it is volatile.

Don’t FOMO into thousands and thousands of dollars of Bitcoin unless you are ready to temporarily lose 50% or more.

Don’t invest any more into Bitcoin than you are willing to lose. While I think it will be fine, it’s always possible something wild could happen and it could go to $0 (I doubt this but keeping all possibilities open).


Welcome to Bitcoin!

Oh, and you can always contact me with Bitcoin questions!

BIPs Biggest Threat to Bitcoin

Posted on by
1

Reply to – 

A u s t i n | Open Source Fitness

@_AustinHerbert

If #bitcoin fails, we’re fucked. But at this point, how does #bitcoin fail? one sentence ↓

My 1 sentence reply – 

Biggest threat to bitcoin is BIPs Messing with the btc code and making it not btc. BIPs should take min of 10 yrs to review/run on another chain first etc. Mostly I’m against BIPs  “Bitcoin Introduce Peril’s”

My longer reply – 

What is the point of a BIP (Bitcoin Improvement Protocol)? It is to change the Bitcoin base code that is running on nodes to “improve” Bitcoin in the eyes of the people proposing the improvement. But what needs to be changed with Bitcoin?

The critical things to make Bitcoin Bitcoin are:

21 million coins which supply never increases – That already exists. 

Bitcoin needs to be able to be transferred – This is possible on the base layer. That is the whole point of bitcoin, to transfer value.

These are the only things that are important to bitcoin. Lightning network (allows very small transactions to buy a coffee, etc) is very nice and convenient. But you don’t need it for a currency or store of value. Gold has a market cap that is 10x bitcoin. No one is buying coffee with gold.

I think the Bitcoin community needs to be very skeptical of any BIPs and should really resist most BIPs aggressively. 

The necessary thing for bitcoin is adoption. From all the people I have talked to about bitcoin and money a total of 1 has really understood how money works or the value of a store of value that doesn’t have inflation as a possibility. I think people who are working on BIPs could serve bitcoin much better by teaching people about bitcoin and how it works than trying to change it and potentially destroying it.

Isn’t The Bitcoin Guy in Jail?

Posted on by
Reply

I was recently in the hospital (that part of the story isn’t important) and had a Bitcoin book, A Progressive’s Case for Bitcoin: A Path Toward a More Just, Equitable, and Peaceful World, out on my desk to read while I was sitting around doing nothing. One of the nurses asked me if I “Was into Bitcoin?”. I naturally said “yes” enthusiastically and asked her if she wanted to talk about it. Her first comment was “Isn’t the bitcoin guy in jail?” I explained to her that “no there is no ‘bitcoin guy’” The guy who is in jail, who I’m assuming she meant Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), although we didn’t clarify that, I explained to her, was a fraudster but not directly linked with bitcoin. I explained to her that Sam and his company FTX were more or less committing fraud on a level similar to Enron. She seemed to understand that. 

Fighting basic narrative errors about bitcoin like this is important for bitcoin adoption. There is so much false news and when people don’t really have that much interest, this is the type of error they can make. 

I also got to mention to her that there is a limit of 21 million bitcoin ever and it fixes the problem of governments stealing our savings via inflation. She did like that! She mentioned that she had a “lot of cash” and “wished the government would stop stealing things”. Not the most technical conversation, but I’m hoping that by.

1 . removing the connection of SBF/FTX to bitcoin and

2. Connecting the idea of bitcoin saving you from government created inflation, she might be more open to bitcoin the next time she hears about it. 

She also mentioned that she “isn’t tech savvy” but somehow mentioned she has Venmo. You can buy bitcoin on Venmo (it’s not the favorite platform for the “hardcore” bitcoin folks but it works). So I did mention to her that she would be able to buy it there pretty easily.

What Problem Does a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Solve?

Posted on by
Reply

If you read my previous post you will learn what problem bitcoin is trying to solve. But there is another thing that governments love to talk about when anyone mentions bitcoin or cryptocurrencies. To be clear on the difference between bitcoin and cryptocurrencies read this. The thing Governments love to bring up is a Central Bank Digital Currency or a CBDC for short.  

What is a CBDC and what benefit does it have? The most important thing to know about a CBDC is it is 100% Government controlled, just like money today. It has no limit on how much of it there can be.  Because of this they can create more new CBDC everyday and reduce the value of the ones you own.  This is inflation and that is the problem that bitcoin solves by having a limit that is 21 million bitcoin ever. The fact that  CBDC does not have a limit, means it is not a substitute for bitcoin and you should not be fooled by anyone on tv, or anywhere, saying a CBDC can replace bitcoin and now we don’t need bitcoin.

One thing a CBDC may do is either make settlements at the store faster or international settlements faster. Today international settlements usually go through a company like Western Union.  It is very expensive to send money out of the country. Visa and Mastercard process most payments via their credit system and charge between 1.5%-4%  to the businesses using their network. A CBDC could remove the need for Visa and Mastercard and for Western Union. Basically it could remove any intermediaries as a CBDC would be infinitely and immediately traceable. While to me all our money seems digital and traceable anyway, a CBDC would make it even more easily so. There may be a push from a government to use it as a form of punishment or denial of purchase for certain things which would be another option that opens up even more with the abilities of a CBDC. For example the government could say that buying meat is bad or buying more than 1000g/ month of meat is illegal and could limit your CBDC credit card to purchases of meat, or anything they wanted. 

The main point I wanted to help people understand with that post is that a CBDC certainly does not do anything that would replace bitcoin or reduce inflation and could even potentially be used to control purchases by individuals.

Consider buying a little Bitcoin!