EV News – 2022 Reveiw and 2023 Coming Soon!

I had a short conversation with someone about EV’s (electric vehicles) who admitted that they didn’t know much about the current adoption/industry. I took it upon myself to gather a few highlights from 2022 as well as some info about exciting near term developments for 2023. Below are those articles!

A short deviation from all the EV stuff that will follow.

Porsche begins production of ‘e-fuel’ that could provide gas alternative amid EV push. Porsche said Tuesday that a pilot plant in Chile started production of the alternative fuel, as it aims to produce millions of gallons by mid-decade.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/20/porsche-starts-production-of-e-fuel-that-could-provide-gas-alternative.html

 A big deal for 2023 is that most EV’s are again open to the $7,500 tax credit, depending on where the batteries are made and some other rules.

Previously after any specific manufacturer had sold 200k EV’s that company’s cars would lose a tax credit.

So GM and Tesla EV’s were not getting a $7,500 tax credit at the end of 2022 while Ford’s were.

https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/credits-for-new-clean-vehicles-purchased-in-2023-or-after

Tesla Cybertruck – Many Tesla fans are closely watching as tooling rolls into the Texas production plant, getting ready for Cybertruck production later in 2023!

Tesla takes delivery of army of robots to build Cybertruck

Tesla Cybertruck Coming, Giga Press Shipments Arrive At Giga Texas

https://insideevs.com/news/630127/tesla-cybertruck-coming-giga-press-shipments-arrive/

TeslaSsemi – Initially 36 delivered to Pepsi. More being delivered in 2023

500 mile range on the Tesla Semi, pulling a load.

Tesla expanding Texas plant – $700 million capital expenditure https://electrek.co/2023/01/10/tesla-applies-massive-million-expansion-gigafactory-texas/

Vinfast – Vietnamese car company. Up and coming! Sounds like a bit of a rough start though.

Part of a huge company – Vingroup that seems to own everything in Vietnam.

https://jalopnik.com/vinfast-vf8-electric-car-first-drive-not-ready-for-u-s-1849892217

 Vingroup Joint Stock Company is the largest conglomerate of Vietnam,focusing on technology, industry, real estate development, retail, and services ranging from healthcare to hospitality. The company was founded by property developer and entrepreneur Phạm Nhật Vượng.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vingroup

It’s hard to tell how many cars Vinfast has sold in 2022. It sounds like only a few thousand. But hopefully they will start producing more in 2023! More EV companies the better.

https://www.marklines.com/en/news/274025

 Ford

The company said it sold 15,617 F150 Lightning EV pickups in 2022. Plans to sell many more in 2023. 

 Rivian

On a full-year 2022 basis, Rivian produced 24,337 electric vehicles and delivered 20,332 to customers. Rivian is a new EV only car (currently only making Trucks and SUV’s) company.

https://insideevs.com/news/629288/rivian-ev-production-deliveries-2022q4

VW bus -ID.Buzz –

saw the start of production of the ID.Buzz electric van after it was officially unveiled last March.

6,000 Buzz deliveries alone by the end of 2022

 In 2022, 20,511 Volkswagen ID.4 (small electric sedan) were sold in the US, which is 22.5 percent more than in 2021 (16,742) and 6.8 percent of the brand’s total volume. Cumulatively, more than 37,000 ID.4 were delivered to customers

https://insideevs.com/news/629719/us-volkswagen-id4-sales-record-2022q4/

2023 Chevy Bolt EV and EUV get $6,000 price cut, start at $25,600 –. Probably cheapest/best value EV for sale in USA.

Canoo – New EV company. Has multiple sale agreements with Walmart, US military, others.

https://www.press.canoo.com/press-release/walmart-purchases-canoo-electric-delivery-vehicles

United states post office – Personally I think this is a great application for EV’s. standard daily route length. Can recharge at night. Should save USPS a lot of money. 

https://about.usps.com/newsroom/national-releases/2022/1220-usps-intends-to-deploy-over-66000-electric-vehicles-by-2028.htm

 o Postal Service anticipates increasing the quantity of purpose-built Next Generation Delivery Vehicles (NGDV) to a minimum of 60,000 of which at least 45,000 will be battery electric by 2028. NGDV acquisitions delivered in 2026 and thereafter expected to be 100% electric.

o Postal Service expects to purchase an additional 21,000 battery electric delivery vehicles through 2028, representing a mix of commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) vehicles. Acquisitions delivered in 2026 through 2028 expected to be 100% electric.

 Chinese EV companies – NIO, Xpeng, Li auto – are the 3 new big upcoming Chinese EV companies.

NIO – . NIO delivered 122,486 vehicles in 2022 in total, increasing by 34.0% year-over-year. Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 289,556 as of December 31, 2022.

https://www.nio.com/news/nio-inc-provides-december-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2022-delivery-update

Nio is also working on battery swap stations, not just charging like most other EV companies are doing.

https://insideevs.com/news/622519/nio-1200-battery-swapping-stations-china-2022/

Xpeng – Xpeng ranked third, delivering 11,292 vehicles in December, down from 16,000 last year, for a total of 120,757 in 2022.

Li Auto – They are the 3rd hot Chinese EV car company. Honestly I don’t know much about them but apparently they delivered just slightly more EV’s than Nio or Xpeng in 2022 (Li Auto – 133,000 deliveries in 2022. See above link.

BYD – BYD auto is a legacy car company that has delivered a lot of hybrids in china.They sell more plug in hybrids than pure EV’s. but still a good company/force in EV world.

https://insideevs.com/news/629273/byd-plugin-car-sales-december2022/

In 2022, BYD sold more than 1.85 million plug-in electric cars, more than tripling its 2021 result of 593,745. This makes the company the world’s largest manufacturer of rechargeable cars, although, in the case of all-electric cars, Tesla still has a significant edge (over 1.3 million deliveries).

BYD plug-in sales year-to-date:

BEVs: 911,141 (up 184% year-over-year)

PHEVs: 946,238 (up 247% year-over-year)

Total: 1,857,379 (up 213% year-over-year)

The Future

I spend a lot of time thinking and reading about things that are coming “in the future” and I often want to write about them after but it often doesn’t happen. Usually future technology or ideas are aimed at making the world a better place and thinking about stuff like that can put you in a good mood.  I wanted to just share a few quick notes and key people related to some future ideas in the hopes that it might spark some of you to look into one or two of them and go boldly into the future with me.

Transhumanism is the belief or theory that the human race can evolve beyond its current physical and mental limitations, especially by means of science and technology. Zoltan Istvan is a writer currently running for President Of The United States on a Transhuman platform. One of his thoughts is we can potentially live forever. Is he crazy? Maybe.

Cyborgs  are people who have had things implanted in their body to help increase efficiency or capacity of current bodily functions. Implants could help with healing, memory, increasing hearing or sight. We could have phones implanted in our earlobe that could read our brains instead of us having to physically talk. I think that phones already do a lot of the type of things that cyborgs are thinking about but it is just not integrated in our bodies yet. As things get smaller with nanotechnology it will be easier and easier to be a cyborb but the small bots might be able to leave our bodies fast as new models come out so it won’t even be obvious our bodies are being enhanced.

Telomeres are the protective caps on the ends of chromosomes that are linked to aging and disease. They have been linked with longer life spans. It is suspected that exercise is one way we can help keep them healthy. Aubrey de Grey is one of the leading researchers in this area of study and other ways to help telomeres stay long and keep us alive and healthy.This goes directly along with the idea of transhumanism mentioned above.

Cryonics is the study of feezing people as they die or just after to hopefully restore them to better health in the future. This obviously relates to the above studies as the people, if they are unfrozen, would benefit from research in any anti aging information as well as anything that helps people live longer lives.

Nanotechnology can be used for many things from material design to robots that could help us become cyborgs. They could be programed to fight infections or cancers more effectively than our current immune system. They could also be used to stop bleeding, from inside of us. Other robots could be used to manufacture or heal materials.

Augmented reality is having a coming day soon. It is where the current world is projected over by some virtual components. Really I would say that Google maps is already a very basic form of augmented reality as we can get reviews and notifications about things that are near to us we might be interested in.  A new game is coming out soon, Pokemon Go, that is another step for augmented reality.

Virtual reality is the next step after augmented reality. It has a future where we might eventually be plugged into a Matrix type computer. We could do whatever we wanted. Again, I think we have had very basic virtual reality for a long time, at least as long as video games have been around. If you think about it books are even a form of virtual reality that we create in our minds. We are just taking it a step further with a headset that works to trick more of our senses.  This site gives you a neat rough VR tour of Mars. The lines of what “counts” as VR will obviously stay blurred. Current technology such as the Oculus Rift is making VR even more sophisticated than most people realize.  I see a future where we will have VR vacations that will obviously be cheaper than real trips. VR will also allow us to experience historic places and events.

Abundance is more a concept than an actual thing. There was a great book written about it by Peter H. Diamandis and Steven Kotler. They promote the idea that we have more than enough to survive now. We need to stop hoarding stuff and being afraid of the future because we will have so much in the future. We need to get rid of the mindset that if someone else has more that means we have to have less. There is plenty to go around. Buckminster Fuller also shared a similar though, over 50 years ago, just without using the term Abundance.

Basic income is the idea that we will have so much via abundance and so little that we have to do thanks to increases in computers and robots that we might have to give people money to live off of because there will be no jobs. Instead of this being bad it could be great as we’ll be able to all spend time doing things we enjoy and taking up challenges we want to do that will lead to more innovation because of the passion we could have for our endeavors. There are many places that are starting to look at this such as Give Directly, the city of Utrecht (in the Netherlands) and Finland.

Mars – If you watched the Martian you know it was rooted in a lot of good science. We are probably going there in my lifetime and that’s just exciting!

Electric cars – With energy being probably the most important thing (after air) to our survival and only some forms of electricity being renewable, I see electric cars coming on strong in the coming years, boosted by better battery technology as well as cheaper electricity.

Autonomous cars – Although the first death was recently recorded that related to an autonomous (or assisted driving) car, it wasn’t actually determined that it was the fault of the car. My bet is it will not be. It wasn’t mentioned how many people died as a result of their own driving that same day but I bet it was a lot more. The systems will only be better as our technology increases.

The technological singularity is a hypothetical event in which an upgradable intelligent agent (such as a computer running software-based artificial general intelligence) enters a ‘runaway reaction’ of self-improvement cycles, with each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly. (Wikipedia). The Singularity Is Near is a great book written by Ray Kurzweil about this idea. You can also learn more about this, and many other topics, from the YouTube channel Singularity Weblog. Obviously such computing power could help solve many of the problems associated with the ideas discussed above and maybe make some of them obsolete.

If you want to read about a few more exciting things that could be in store for the future I encourage you to look up Quantum  physics, Dark Matter, Dark Energy and the Human Genome project.
I know I am excited for the future and hoping to contribute in my own small way. What are you most excited about for the future? How are you helping it come?