Bitcoin Letter To Politician (Joni Ernst) #2

I wrote a letter to Joni Ernst (and Chuck Grassley) about Bitcoin that you can find here. I have posted Joni’s reply and then my reply to her, trying to correct the many incorrect things she noted in her letter (or her email reply person’s letter). I understand why most people dont’ waste their time contacting their politicians. You never get a straight answer. But unfortunately, beyond voting them out, which is nearly impossible to do as most politicians stay in once elected, the only thing we can do is contact them to try to educate them on topics and encourage others to contact them also. That is why I post my emails with politicians, so others can just copy/paste send them, if they want, to show our politicians that it’s a topic people care about, without making others spend time writing a letter.

Below is Joni Ernst’s reply. 

Dear Mr. Hoogland,

Thank you for reaching out to me regarding digital asset regulation. It is important for me to hear from folks in Iowa on this rapidly evolving topic.

Whether it is Bitcoin, central bank digital currencies, or digital currency exchanges like FTX, digital assets have been a big topic of conversation in Washington. Cryptocurrencies can create new avenues for financial transactions, investments, and other economic activity given they do not rely on a government’s central bank. While digital assets offer new possibilities, there are legitimate concerns we must also address. 

For example, Bitcoin is among the most popular cryptocurrencies, but we do not know who created it or how much of it exists. These uncertainties raise questions as to how legitimate Bitcoin can be as a currency. Further, cryptocurrencies are volatile. We have seen currencies become extremely valuable, and then, in the blink of an eye, lose their value all-together. This volatility raises questions around the extent to which cryptocurrencies may need to be regulated in some form or fashion so as to create more stability for investors.

Additionally, the decentralized nature of digital assets create potential risks related to fraud and illicit activities. We have already seen how bad actors across the world take advantage of the secrecy digital currencies provide in order to commit crimes, fund terrorism, or evade sanctions. 

However, there is much benefit to be had from greater use of technology in the financial system. Cryptocurrencies do open doors for people who may not otherwise have access to capital. Though substantially distinct from digital currencies, the Federal Reserve recently unveiled its new FedNow service to help give people and businesses instant access to their money when they transfer it from account to account. 

As we continue to flesh out the use of digital currencies and technology in finance, we must strike the right balance between fostering innovation, protecting individuals, and limiting the ability of bad actors to abuse the system. 

You may be interested to know, this year’s National Defense Authorization Act included a provision to tighten oversight of financial institutions working with cryptocurrencies and other digital assets. By instituting regulatory clarity while weeding out bad actors, financial institutions can better ensure digital assets are not improperly used. This is just one of many crucial provisions in the annual defense bill that bolsters our national security and sends a clear sign of strength to our adversaries.

Thank you again for reaching out to my office, and please know that I am closely monitoring this situation as it develops. Please feel free to share any additional insights or concerns you may have regarding digital assets as I always enjoy hearing from Iowans. 

Sincerely,

Joni K. Ernst

United States Senator

My reply is below.

Senator – 

Thank you for your reply. I wanted to point out that you didn’t really address any of the specific topics I noted and you even shared some incorrect factual information. It concerns me when my elected Senator (or their email writer/advisor) is so wrong on a very basic topic. 

It is obvious that this is your canned bitcoin/crypto currency response.
I want to emphasize to you there is a fundamental difference between bitcoin and “cryptocurrency”

You can read about the differences in this short blog post .

I asked you to oppose Senator Elizabeth Warren’s “Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act” in particular. You did not mention that bill at all. 

I also encouraged you to learn from Daniel Batten and his work into bitcoin mining reducing methane emissions. You did not mention that at all. 

Flared Methane as a Sustainable Power Source for Cryptocurrency Mining


I also asked you to to learn from Alex Gladstein about the human rights benefits that Bitcoin provides. He has already tried to speak to congress on this.You did not mention that at all. 

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/07/human-rights-advocates-say-bitcoin-critical-in-authoritarian-countries.html


Are you not interested in the plight of those fleeing authoritarian regimes?


You did mention, unprompted that “Bitcoin is among the most popular cryptocurrencies, but we do not know who created it or how much of it exists.

While it is true the inventor, Satoshi Nakamato, is unknown, we do know that there will only be 21 million bitcoin ever. This is ingrained in the code.

This is unlike the amount of US dollars of which we truly can’t know how many will ever exist. Every year the US government prints trillions more in new dollars.

While Republicans pay lip service to the budget deficit when Democrats hold the presidency, historically, Republican presidents run even larger budget deficits than Democrats! You are right to fight against deficits but I believe you do it only in word for votes. I don’t believe you have any personal conviction to reduce the deficit.

I encourage you to talk to your fellow Senator, Cynthia Lumis. She seems to understand Bitcoin. 

Open Letter To Iowa Representatives about Bitcoin

I have written the below open letter to my Iowa representatives about Bitcoin. I have also emailed it to them with a link to this post so they are able to get to the links below. I encourage you to go to your own representatives websites and email them this also.

I am writing this letter to you directly, you can also find the text below with links to specific articles I recommend you read. https://mywheellife.com/2023/12/18/open-letter-to-iowa-representatives-about-bitcoin/

Senator Grassley, Senator Ernst and Congresswoman Hinson

I am writing to you concerning Bitcoin in general and Senator Elizabeth Warren’s “Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act” in particular. 

I would like to first refer you to the video “Elizabeth Warren’s Anti-Bitcoin Agenda with Perianne Boring” on the “What Bitcoin Did” podcast. 

“Warren’s bill, the Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act, aims to solve a problem that no one has. It that would classify nearly all crypto industry participants — from wallet providers to miners to validators — as financial institutions, subjecting them to the onerous compliance regime of the Bank Secrecy Act. Under this bill, a teenager running a bitcoin mining rig in his basement could be subject to the same compliance burdens as JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs.

But wallet providers, miners, and validators are not banks. They do not hold custody of assets. They certainly should not be collecting or storing the sensitive personal financial information of individual users of an asset. They merely provide infrastructure — the open-source software and computing power to help secure the network. Much like Microsoft, which also supplies a lot of software and cybersecurity products to financial institutions, they are not financial institutions. 

It would be impossible for the industry to comply with Warren’s requirements, and she knows this. The point of her bill is not to improve national security or stop money laundering, but to kill digital asset innovation.” – The Hill

Please also investigate Elizabeth Warren and her collusion with the banks and SEC. I am concerned she is not regulation in good faith. 

Lawyer Says Senator Elizabeth Warren Conspires With SEC Chair Gary Gensler, Violating Her Oath

I want to encourage, you, my representatives, to learn about Bitcoin and it’s many benefits.


I also want you to learn about the benefits of bitcoin mining and it’s ability to mitigate emissions. Specifically, please learn from Daniel Batten and his work into bitcoin mining reducing methane emissions. 

Flared Methane as a Sustainable Power Source for Cryptocurrency Mining

I would also like you to learn from Alex Gladstein about the human rights benefits that Bitcoin provides. He has already tried to speak to congress on this.
Human rights advocates tell Congress bitcoin is essential in countries with ‘collapsing’ currencies

As my representatives, I encourage you to learn about Bitcoin and be a champion and advocate for it. 

Sincerely

Axel Hoogland

Bitcoin Doesn’t Need Anything, Bitcoin Is Already A Store Of Value

Bitcoin is a store of value, over time.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to have a perfectly stable price over time.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be used in daily transactions. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be able to be transacted in 1 second.
Bitcoin doesn’t need to cost $0.01 to send $1 billion across the world. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be the only money in the world, it can exist alongside government currencies, just like gold does today. 

Bitcoin doesn’t need intrinsic value

Bitcoin doesn’t need a government to give it value.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to run NFT and smart contracts on it’s base chain.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to change the maximum number of 21 million bitcoin.

Bitcoin doesn’t need BIPS (Bitcoin Improvement Protocols)!

Bitcoin needs the properties of a sound money.

It should be scarce. 

It should be divisible.

It should be transmissible.

It should be immutable. 

It should be difficult  (or impossible) to counterfeit.

It should be assayable (easy to verify it is what it says it is).


Bitcoin has all these things already. 

It just needs to be “adopted as a treasury reserve asset” to quote Michael Saylor. Meaning people just need to choose to preserve their wealth in bitcoin, over time.

People don’t need to store all their money in bitcoin. A small percentage of people in the world own gold, but it still has value.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be used in daily transactions to have value. Gold has value but it is not used in daily transactions.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to be “legal tender” to have value. Gold has value but it is not legal tender. 

Money should only be used as money. If you give it some other use or value, it’s possible that it’s main use, as money, is twisted such that it’s monetary value gets distorted and it is no longer a good money!

I encourage you to ask questions about “What is Money?” What is the purpose of money? Why do we need money? What things does money need to do to make it useful?

Bitcoin Market Cap, How Much Could 1 Bitcoin Be Worth?

Much of this post was taken from this tweet from  MD₿TC@MDBitcoin. I felt this information was very helpful so I wanted to share and expand on it.


Original tweet below

The Inevitable Path of #BTC 

I. Global wealth = between $400-$900T

II. Let’s say 10% of Bitcoins are lost.

III. Let’s do a conservative estimate that #BTC captures  ONLY 1% of global wealth, the value of one #Bitcoin would be? 

then imagine 5%?, 10%? 20%? 50%?  

There is no other path, accumulate as if your life depended on it. 🟠

Complete Calculations:

Available Bitcoins:

Total Bitcoin Supply: 21,000,000

Lost Bitcoins: 10% of 21,000,000 = 2,100,000

Available Bitcoins: 21,000,000 – 2,100,000 = 18,900,000

1% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

1% of $400T = $4T

Value of one Bitcoin = $4T / 18,900,000 ≈ $211,640.21

Upper Bound:

1% of $900T = $9T

Value of one Bitcoin = $9T / 18,900,000 ≈ $476,190.48

5% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

5% of $400T = $20T

Value of one Bitcoin = $20T / 18,900,000 ≈ $1,058,201.06

Upper Bound:

5% of $900T = $45T

Value of one Bitcoin = $45T / 18,900,000 ≈ $2,380,952.38

10% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

10% of $400T = $40T

Value of one Bitcoin = $40T / 18,900,000 ≈ $2,116,402.12

Upper Bound:

10% of $900T = $90T

Value of one Bitcoin = $90T / 18,900,000 ≈ $4,761,904.76

20% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

20% of $400T = $80T

Value of one Bitcoin = $80T / 18,900,000 ≈ $4,232,804.23

Upper Bound:

20% of $900T = $180T

Value of one Bitcoin = $180T / 18,900,000 ≈ $9,523,809.52

50% of Global Wealth:

Lower Bound:

50% of $400T = $200T

Value of one Bitcoin = $200T / 18,900,000 ≈ $10,582,010.58

Upper Bound:

50% of $900T = $450T

Value of one Bitcoin = $450T / 18,900,000 ≈ $23,809,523.81

Buy the quantity that you can and put it in cold storage, wait a decade and watch the inevitable path.

-End original tweet. 


There is a lot to unpack there. 

Let’s start with the basics. 

There is between $400T and $900T of wealth in the world. 

For reference at bitcoin’s current price of $26,000 and total coin maximum number of bitcoin ever of 21 million coins, bitcoin’s current market capitalization is $546 billion. This is between 0.067% and 0.13% of all the value in the world. That’s pretty small currently!

Gold has a current market capitalization of $12 trillion. 

That comes to between 1.3% -3% of all the value in the world. 

As noted above, if bitcoin was to capture 1% of the world value  it would be worth between $211k and $476k per coin. This doesn’t even get it to the same market capitalization as gold!

Lower Bound:

1% of $400T = $4T

Value of one Bitcoin = $4T / 18,900,000 ≈ $211,640.21

Upper Bound:

1% of $900T = $9T

Value of one Bitcoin = $9T / 18,900,000 ≈ $476,190.48

Since bitcoin has many features that make it more useful than gold it has a good chance of at least gaining the adoption of 1% of the store of world value. Bitcoin doesn’t have to be used for every daily transaction for it to be useful or valuable. Gold has value and it is not very useful at all for daily transactions. 

Bitcoin has multiple benefits over gold, it can be sent around the world nearly instantly, it can be broken down into very small units (1 satoshi = 0.00000001 bitcoin  which at $26k/bitcoin = $0.01 is equal to 37 satoshis) and various other benefits that bitcoin has). 

These are just a few of the reasons that I think Bitcoin will likely continue to stay around as a store of value and continue to gain adoption and grow in price and value.

How To Buy Bitcoin

As bitcoin continues to be adopted many people will have a lot of questions. One of the main questions is probably “How do I buy Bitcoin?”

Here is the quickest and likely one of the safest ways to buy bitcoin, go to the google play store (or apple store) on your phone and download “Cash App”. 

Link your bank account. 

Click “Buy bitcoin”. 

Boom, you now own some bitcoin!

I recommend Cash App because they are a Bitcoin only company. There are many copies of Bitcoin like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV) and many others. Don’t be fooled. Only buy Bitcoin (BTC ticker symbol). Since Cash App only sells Bitcoin (BTC) this is not a problem. That is why I recommend Cashapp for starting.
Companies like Robinhood, Coinbase and others sell Bitcoin (BTC) but also sell others like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV), Ethereum (ETH) and thousands of other cryptocurrencies. You want to buy Bitcoin (BTC) only. 

Now you can start learning about bitcoin. Luckily Cashapp has news articles about bitcoin linked in it’s app so you can read there.

You can also follow Michael Saylor on Twitter. He has a lot of great information about bitcoin. One of the best podcasts I have heard about Bitcoin is “The Saylor Series” By Robert Breedlove on the “What is Money Show”. 

Now, owning bitcoin and holding it on the Cashapp app isn’t the safest way to hold bitcoin. While Cashapp is relatively safe, there is still risk that Cashapp goes under. 

An option now is to download a hot wallet to your phone like Muun Wallet, or GreenWallet (from the company Blockstream),  also from the google play store. You can then transfer your bitcoin from Cashapp to your hot wallet, if you want. You don’t have to do this. You can keep your money on Cashapp. It’s like keeping money at a bank. Using Muun wallet is like keeping cash in a safe at your home. I would suggest learning more about wallets before you transfer your bitcoin to a wallet. I also wouldn’t buy thousands and thousands of dollars in bitcoin until you understand it more. 

Continue to learn more about Bitcoin through various articles. Don’t buy more Bitcoin than you need. You only need as much as you’ll never sell. Bitcoin is not a thing to sell. Bitcoin is a thing to buy, regardless of price.
Don’t panic sell your Bitcoin if the price goes down from $100k to $50k or even $30k again! This is the nature of bitcoin, it is volatile.

Don’t FOMO into thousands and thousands of dollars of Bitcoin unless you are ready to temporarily lose 50% or more.

Don’t invest any more into Bitcoin than you are willing to lose. While I think it will be fine, it’s always possible something wild could happen and it could go to $0 (I doubt this but keeping all possibilities open).


Welcome to Bitcoin!

Oh, and you can always contact me with Bitcoin questions!

BIPs Biggest Threat to Bitcoin

Reply to – 

A u s t i n | Open Source Fitness

@_AustinHerbert

If #bitcoin fails, we’re fucked. But at this point, how does #bitcoin fail? one sentence ↓

My 1 sentence reply – 

Biggest threat to bitcoin is BIPs Messing with the btc code and making it not btc. BIPs should take min of 10 yrs to review/run on another chain first etc. Mostly I’m against BIPs  “Bitcoin Introduce Peril’s”

My longer reply – 

What is the point of a BIP (Bitcoin Improvement Protocol)? It is to change the Bitcoin base code that is running on nodes to “improve” Bitcoin in the eyes of the people proposing the improvement. But what needs to be changed with Bitcoin?

The critical things to make Bitcoin Bitcoin are:

21 million coins which supply never increases – That already exists. 

Bitcoin needs to be able to be transferred – This is possible on the base layer. That is the whole point of bitcoin, to transfer value.

These are the only things that are important to bitcoin. Lightning network (allows very small transactions to buy a coffee, etc) is very nice and convenient. But you don’t need it for a currency or store of value. Gold has a market cap that is 10x bitcoin. No one is buying coffee with gold.

I think the Bitcoin community needs to be very skeptical of any BIPs and should really resist most BIPs aggressively. 

The necessary thing for bitcoin is adoption. From all the people I have talked to about bitcoin and money a total of 1 has really understood how money works or the value of a store of value that doesn’t have inflation as a possibility. I think people who are working on BIPs could serve bitcoin much better by teaching people about bitcoin and how it works than trying to change it and potentially destroying it.

Is Now A Good Time To Buy Bitcoin?

Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin? I think it’s going to $10k in a few months. These are the type of things people say when I ask why they don’t own any bitcoin. 

Questions I prefer to ask them are “What is your time horizon?” What is your goal with buying this bitcoin?

If you want to double or triple your money and “get rich” when bitcoin goes to $100k and sell it then no it’s not a good time to buy bitcoin. It actually never is. That is speculation and I hate speculation, in the stock market, or in anything really. That shows you don’t understand the point of bitcoin. Bitcoin should be held forever or at least until $1 million/ coin. I pick $1 million/coin because I think once it’s worth $1 million per coin it will be much more obvious that it is a store of value.  When it’s worth that you may think “Why would I sell this for USD?” You can probably trade it directly for goods and services at that level.
If you have any plans to sell bitcoin in the short term, just don’t even buy it. 

Consider if you buy bitcoin now the downside is $26k to $0, or whatever amount you invest.

The upside is infinite, when measured in dollars.

21 million bitcoin that will ever exist, divided by 8 billion people = .002625 bitcoin per person. 

X$26,000 (current bitcoin price) = $68

So if you invest just $68 you can at least secure your equal amount of bitcoin. 

Get your fair share of btc today.

Realistically even owning 0.002625 bitcoin is more than a lot of people ever will because as we know no money is equally distributed. So the average person will likely own less. That is actually ok. Wealth inequality is the expected state since people have unequal talents and are willing to take different levels of risk.
Bitcoin is your chance to opt into a system that doesn’t reduce your wealth via inflation though!

Once you own a little bitcoin you’ll be more inclined to learn more about it. I bought it for the first time in 2017. Then got distracted by a different coin , litecoin, that was “a better bitcoin”. I lost money on litecoin but continued to learn. Eventually I came to learn the problem that bitcoin solves and why there can’t be a better bitcoin.

“If you don’t believe it or don’t get it, I don’t have the time to try to convince you, sorry” – Satoshi Nakamoto ,  creator of bitcoin.


While Satoshi is probably right that he didn’t have time to try to explain it to you, I think I do. I enjoy trying to help others learn about bitcoin. Don’t hesitate to ask questions if you are genuinely interested in bitcoin!

Bitcoin Catalysts

Bitcoin has a slew of catalysts on the horizon. The first three are increasing demand/buyers.

  1.  As I’ve written about before Microstrategy, the public company that owns the most bitcoin is selling $750 million worth of new stock to buy more bitcoin. 
  1. El Salvador, the first country to make bitcoin legal tender, is on their way to selling $1 billion in bitcoin bonds. $500 million will be used to buy bitcoin directly.   $500 million will be used to buy bitcoin miners. 
  1. At least 7 Bitcoin Spot ETF’s have been filed in the USA. This in itself is not new. There have been many filed in the past that have been rejected, for no good reason. The first one filed in this latest round has been pushed off by the SEC and opened for comments by the public, a delay tactic. But they can’t delay forever. They have to give a final ruling in January 2024. Many other countries around the world have bitcoin spot ETFs active. There is no good reason to not approve one. One will eventually be approved in the USA either now or later. Once that happens there will be a lot of new buyers of bitcoin. Currently it is rather difficult to buy bitcoin with many funds, 401k’s, IRA, regular brokerage account. But when you are able to buy a bitcoin spot ETF in any of those funds with money you already have in those accounts that just opens a lot more money to buy bitcoin. 

The 4th catalyst is a supply reducing catalyst. The next bitcoin halving is currently going to happen on April 17th, 2024. Bitcoin miners are rewarded for protecting the bitcoin network with “new” bitcoin. They have to sell a lot of these bitcoin to pay for their electricity costs. They currently receive 6.25 BTC per block. In April 2024 it will drop to 3.125 BTC. Since there will be less bitcoin being sold by miners, if the demand remains the same it’s likely bitcoin will appreciate in value. 

While bitcoin is very volatile it should be remembered that the goal of bitcoin is to not be volatile. It is currently volatile due to all the people speculating on its future value. Some people bought it 6 months ago and it’s doubled in price so they are selling because they have made 2x their initial money. In the long run bitcoin’s price will only go up as the value of goods grows. It will only go up with inflation. That is the end goal of bitcoin.

Tesla Should Accept Bitcoin NOW!

As both a Tesla shareholder and a Bitcoin holder, I think it’s time Tesla starts accepting bitcoin for payments again.

Tesla currently holds hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin on their balance sheet. 

Tesla accepted bitcoin for Tesla purchases for a very short time in 2021 but then quit accepting it due to concerns about the emissions from bitcoin mining.
His “rules” laid out above in a tweet June 13th, 2021 was that Tesla would resume accepting Bitcoin when bitcoin mining was using greater than 50% green energy. It has been clearly shown by the Bitcoin Mining Council that bitcoin mining is 59.9% green! 

“Based on this data, the global bitcoin mining industry’s sustainable electricity mix has improved marginally to 59.9% and remains one of the most sustainable industries globally,” the report stated. – Bitcoin Mining Council

Direct link to Bitcoin Mining Council Q2 2023 report. 

This is well above the goal set by Elon for Tesla of 50%. Because of this, I think Tesla should immediately start accepting Bitcoin for payments again.


Of course Elon could be waiting for “reasons”.

One might be that he expects whenever Tesla starts accepting Bitcoin to have a small flood of buyers. He might be waiting for this until a time that he perceives that he needs a small demand boost? This is my only speculation on why he hasn’t started accepting bitcoin yet.I hope Elon will have a chat with Michael Saylor (Chairman of Microstrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin and also an instrumental figure in the Bitcoin Mining Council) soon!

So Elon, what are you waiting for?

What is Counterfeit money?

Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Alan Greenspan explains how the United States can pay down the debt. By printing money. Transcript:

David Gregory, moderator of “Meet The Press” on NBC: “Are U.S. treasury bonds still safe to invest in?”

Alan Greenspan, Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve: “Very much so. This is not an issue of credit rating, the United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to do that. So, there is zero probability of default.”

If I were to print new money it would be counterfeiting, which is illegal in the USA, and every other country in the world. When the US government creates new money it is not counterfeiting. The action and result is exactly the same, there are more dollars in circulation, except in magnitude. If I were to print new money it’d be maybe $1 million? When the government creates new money it is $1 trillion! Every year! What’s the difference? Every new dollar decreases the purchasing power of every dollar that currently exists. Why do we put up with this?