$882 billion (2024 interest paid by the US government) is only 2.43% of our $36.3 trillion debt. All debt being currently refinanced is at 4.33% (the current federal funds rate). If the debt is continued to be refinanced at 4% and we end up paying an average of 4% on the debt, the total interest we will be paying could be as high as $1.4 trillion!
That represents $9,440.83 in interest paid by each of the 153.8 million tax payers, each year!
For this reason, the government has to lower interest rates. The government can’t afford to spend $1.4T on interest each year.
The total US debt is $36.3 trillion. https://www.usdebtclock.org/#
As of January 17, 2025, the population of the United States was 346,437,156
$36,300,000,000,000.00 debt
346,437,156 people
$104,780.91 debt per person
153,800,000 tax payers
$236,020.81 debt per tax payer
Total Outlays: Up by 10 Percent in Fiscal Year 2024
Outlays in fiscal year 2024 were $6.8 trillion—$617 billion (or 10 percent) more than in 2023. In total, outlays were equal to 23.4 percent of GDP in 2024, down from the recent high of 30.7 percent in 2020, but still above the 50-year average of 21.1 percent.
Total Receipts: Up by 11 Percent in Fiscal Year 2024
Receipts totaled $4.9 trillion during fiscal year 2024, CBO estimates—$479 billion more than during fiscal year 2023. Receipts increased from 16.2 percent of GDP in 2023 to 17.1 percent in 2024, just below the average of 17.3 percent for the past 50 years.
Total outlays (spend) $6.8T – total receipts (taxes) $4.9T = $1.9T deficit.
$1,900,000,000,000.00 2024 budget deficit
153,800,000 tax payers
$12,353.71 deficit per taxpayer
In dollar terms, interest costs reached an all-time high of $476 billion in 2022 and have risen rapidly since then to $882 billion in 2024.
$882 billion is only 2.43% of $36.3 trillion. All debt being currently refinanced is at 4.33% (the current federal funds rate). If the debt is continued to be refinanced at 4% and we end up paying an average of 4% on the debt, the total interest we will be paying could be as high as $1.4 trillion!
That represents $9,440.83 paid by each of the 153.8 million tax payers.
For this reason, the government has to lower interest rates. The government can’t afford to spend $1.4T on interest each year.
We can look at Japan as a canary in the coal mine. While the USA’s debt to GDP is about 120%, Japan’s debt to GDP is over 270%. Japan’s interest rate is 0.25%. That is because their debt is so high that they couldn’t afford to pay 5% interest on their debt. This is the future the USA is headed to.
Below is showing the purchasing power of the Yen to the Dollar.
If you wanted to buy something in the USA in 2020 and it cost $1 it’d cost 110 yen.
If you wanted to buy something that cost $1 in the USA in 2025 it would cost $156 yet.
You need 48% more Yen to buy the same $1 in the USA.
And that $1 has also lost value over 5 years. The USD also loses about 3% of value a year which over 5 years is 15%. So you’d also need $1.15 to buy today what you could buy in 2020 for $1.
So things in the USA are getting more expensive for people in Japan.
I would think that this would result in Japanese people traveling less outside of Japan as the world is getting more expensive for them.
Storing your value in Japanese Yen is a bad idea.
The USD has had a similar trend against gold. You see the same 5 year performance of gold, in USD below.
Gold went from $1,500 to $2,700. You’d need 1.8x as many dollars to buy the same 1 oz of gold 5 years later!
Bitcoin has done even more! It is up 10x vs dollars in the last 5 years. Why is this?
Bitcoin has some base value, that we are unsure of, but on top of that there is the speculative value it has. People are betting on it’s future value.