Stablecoins: The Offshore Demand Engine for a Decaying Fiscal Regime

Over the last decade, stablecoins have quietly grown from a crypto curiosity into a multi-hundred-billion-dollar shadow banking system. Pegged to the U.S. dollar and backed largely by short-term U.S. Treasury debt, they serve as the grease in the wheels of global crypto markets, offshore exchanges, and dollar-hungry economies.

But beneath the surface, something much bigger is happening.


The Dollar Finds a New Buyer

Traditionally, U.S. Treasuries—the lifeblood of American government spending—have been snapped up by major institutions: foreign governments (like China and Japan), domestic banks, and pension funds. But in recent years, these traditional buyers have pulled back. Geopolitical tensions, rising debt levels, and concerns over inflation have made U.S. debt less attractive, even as the U.S. continues running multi-trillion dollar deficits.

Enter the stablecoin.

Today, companies like Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC) hold tens of billions of dollars in U.S. government debt to back their tokens. When someone in Argentina, Nigeria, or a Binance trading desk mints USDT, they’re not just getting a “digital dollar”—they’re triggering a real-world Treasury purchase. The crypto user thinks they’re opting out of the fiat system. But in reality, they’re becoming its final buyer.


The Crypto User Thinks They’re Opting Out of the Fiat System

Why do people in Argentina, Turkey, Lebanon, or Nigeria rush to buy USDT?

Because their own currencies are collapsing. Hyperinflation, capital controls, corrupt central banks—these people aren’t speculating; they’re fleeing. To them, the U.S. dollar—even in stablecoin form—is a lifeline. A way to store value. A way to escape the chaos of their local monetary regimes.

But here’s the catch:

They think they’re opting out of fiat. But in reality, they’re just opting into a slightly better fiat—one that’s still built on debt, political manipulation, and unsustainable spending.

The stablecoin looks like freedom. It feels like safety. But under the hood, it’s still backed by U.S. government debt, not hard money.

Ironically, while individuals are rushing into dollars, governments and central banks are quietly opting outdumping Treasuries and buying gold. China, Russia, and other major players are de-dollarizing their reserves, building gold stacks instead of paper promises.

So while everyday people buy USDT thinking they’re escaping a broken system, they’re actually becoming the last line of support for it.


A Bad Deal for the User, A Great Deal for the Issuer

This system is not just ironic—it’s rigged.

When a user buys a stablecoin, they hand over real money (often hard-earned in volatile, inflation-ridden economies) and receive a token that loses value over time. Meanwhile, the stablecoin issuer uses that cash to buy U.S. Treasuries yielding 5%, pocketing the interest for themselves.

It’s a classic arbitrage:

The company gets the yield. The user gets the illusion of stability.

And what does the company do with the profits?

Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, has been using its surplus to buy Bitcoin and gold.
Yes—they are converting fiat yield into hard assets while their users hold yieldless tokens that depreciate.

Stablecoins aren’t neutral tools—they’re a form of rent extraction on unequal access to dollars. The poor and marginalized, locked out of the global banking system, pay the premium. They provide the capital, but don’t share in the returns. It’s dollar apartheid dressed up as digital liberation.

Ironically, while the wealthy and powerful are exiting Treasuries and moving into gold, the global poor are herded into yieldless tokens that prop up a collapsing system—tokens whose issuers are quietly stacking Bitcoin behind the scenes.


Exit Liquidity for the Empire of Debt

Here’s the twist: stablecoin users—retail traders, global remitters, DeFi participants—are providing exit liquidity for traditional U.S. Treasury holders.

As old institutions reduce exposure to U.S. debt, stablecoin issuers step in, fueled by global crypto demand. The American government still gets to sell its debt. But the buyer has changed. The new buyer is a protocol, backed by offshore exchanges, remittance flows, and millions of anonymous wallets.

This system works—until it doesn’t.


When the Music Stops

What happens in the next crypto bear market? What happens if regulators crack down on stablecoins? If demand for stablecoins dries up, the artificial demand for Treasuries does too. The U.S. government will have to find new buyers—or offer much higher interest rates.

That’s the risk of this hidden system: a shadow Treasury market tied to the most volatile and politically uncertain asset class on earth.


The Ironic Truth

Crypto was born to escape fiat. But stablecoins—its most widely used product—are deeply tied to the health of the fiat regime. They don’t disrupt the dollar. They extend its life. They distribute it further. They help the empire keep borrowing.

In this light, stablecoins aren’t just a tool for freedom. They’re also a backdoor bailout for a bloated fiscal machine, enabled by the very people it exploits.

And if that’s true, the real question isn’t whether the U.S. dollar will survive—but how long crypto will prop it up… while its issuers quietly prepare for the next system.


💡 Want to understand the global mechanics behind this better?
Look up The Dollar Milkshake Theory by Brent Johnson.
It explains how a structurally flawed but globally dominant dollar continues to suck in capital from weaker economies—even as the system cracks.

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